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[148.163.139.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id k12si9838535ywn.124.2022.02.08.11.28.06 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Tue, 08 Feb 2022 11:28:06 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.139.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.139.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0272703.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 218JJB0e028849 for ; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 19:28:06 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3e3bm30n6k-6 for ; Tue, 08 Feb 2022 19:28:06 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 3F6FEE27BA; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 13:28:06 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id E269BE1190 for ; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 13:27:55 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166256.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 218JD1r7021669 for ; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 19:27:55 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3e3aw9sn6p-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Tue, 08 Feb 2022 19:27:54 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 218JRs7h017090-218JRs7j017090 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 13:27:54 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 13:27:53 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 13:27:53 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id C18951C0EEE; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 19:27:53 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: FIJI: Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A3 Issued From Rsmc Nadi Message-ID: <20220208192753.C18951C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Tue, 8 Feb 2022 19:27:53 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=41 impostorscore=0 phishscore=0 suspectscore=0 mlxlogscore=16 clxscore=340 priorityscore=191 mlxscore=41 spamscore=41 adultscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 bulkscore=0 malwarescore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202080114 X-Spam-Score: 41 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: ***** X-Sympa-Topic: Fiji Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 281128 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1644348479-49151-6537" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: fi6d-4VD4OJPwS09fHWjGXHa8-IlnmIj X-Proofpoint-GUID: fi6d-4VD4OJPwS09fHWjGXHa8-IlnmIj X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 suspectscore=0 adultscore=0 spamscore=0 mlxscore=0 clxscore=1015 impostorscore=0 bulkscore=1 malwarescore=0 lowpriorityscore=1 priorityscore=1501 mlxlogscore=379 phishscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202080114 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1644348479-49151-6537 Content-Type: text/plain WTPS11 NFFN 081800 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A3 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 081924 UTC. ****CORRECTION TO CENTRAL PRESSURE**** TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08F CENTRE 991HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.5S 168.2E AT 081800 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 EIR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. DEPRESSION SLOW MOVING. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 30 KNOTS. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST WITH PRIMARY BANDS TRYING TO WRAP ONTO THE LLCC FROM THE NORTH. ORGANISATION AND CURVATURE IS IMPROVING. SYSTEM LIES JUST TO THE SOUTH OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN A MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND SLOWLY MOVE IT SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WITH INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON CURVED BAND WITH 0.4 WRAP GIVES DT OF 2.5. PT AND MET AGREE. THUS FT BASED ON DT YIELDING T2.5/2.5/D0.5/24HRS. FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 090600 UTC 20.2S 168.2E MOV S AT 03 KT WITH 30 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 091800 UTC 20.9S 167.7E MOV SSW AT 04 KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK : AT 36 HRS VALID AT 100600 UTC 21.7S 166.8E MOV SSW AT 04 KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 101800 UTC 23.2S 165.7E MOV SSW AT 05 KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08F WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 090200UTC. ------------=_1644348479-49151-6537 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1644348479-49151-6537--