Return-Path: Delivered-To: typhoon.messages.ust@gmail.com Received: by 2002:aa6:c782:0:b0:19a:73e2:37bd with SMTP id u2csp1489092lkq; Tue, 8 Feb 2022 23:41:18 -0800 (PST) X-Google-Smtp-Source: ABdhPJyyidEJ/M96d/oc8XtauBAuci6CPhjjjkKPij+M0hahg1rIRVBYd/KZb7qdeu/uBkck3PmF X-Received: by 2002:a05:6902:704:: with SMTP id k4mr988629ybt.355.1644392477839; Tue, 08 Feb 2022 23:41:17 -0800 (PST) ARC-Seal: i=1; a=rsa-sha256; t=1644392477; cv=none; d=google.com; s=arc-20160816; b=X6rIa2MZ/v+S9DLYY2yASzNbnr99WeZhGsPbVqWP22KP+Ek6I0Sk1rDblY81rHnYtu FuyUzgWzVAN0jjc0qEvDWi7Vnnu6v2oZOl8VacGKmSry3iXi0wjej3VShU1bdwHDCj/Z RPAG94arLHMlKbWLDWgoYlSevEqYE34iBx766twpsLl1FAJvIVjn2++kSGYJ8LA/ZC2k U05uwbHasDjQgGNlfvSJTFVM0QYFg5mKa+2gZwR7nNJs+chwhIW1IXPfbeGeBOuBr802 uDAZyU7Wh1GBU/eMU+i4m85hzm/PvH5g2Ha1MUIN9b4NOAF0CISt7TFGhakzs5PVFRet ZyQg== ARC-Message-Signature: i=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=google.com; s=arc-20160816; h=list-unsubscribe:list-subscribe:list-post:list-owner:list-help :list-id:precedence:precedence:errors-to:reply-to:mime-version:date :message-id:subject:to:from:delivered-to; bh=N3vMoCCcEXWrc556lCwMwSnAyalgY9TSVUN9cM/D5AQ=; b=nZ8JWBqmHabayD9tZn8+sTsdu6a3ovtpPLOH/x9sRT+OkL6CwnoojeQrl1ISQa2Tg6 N5E7jVXPqFJxT453kQ2tU4uG3AzI9zdNEnHZIxI4/dB9p+nzkseyAwTXDQmkhiG2zRTB IlIgqnkI3nDoBdChUfRVHyBbL/j3sEdIdgUrZTOuxI73CKi7SIlLGyd//jPsFkOdzFcY 6fnPyvsXDEirHjn8CfjLGmGr2CQ7n80QaiNZFgcIGmaLLGsyCrekTDvl4cMHYquANr91 z2eTIJl7cVzKK/o8GWO/nfsq0/teErLgwq3Sf72vk2u+M/AQrv2jMrrDvPMcQlFsq+H+ fNQQ== ARC-Authentication-Results: i=1; mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com. [148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id v202si6795306ybe.529.2022.02.08.23.41.17 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Tue, 08 Feb 2022 23:41:17 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166255.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 21965Q91031065 for ; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 07:41:16 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3e35yb9xhw-4 for ; Wed, 09 Feb 2022 07:41:16 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 82813E2816; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 01:41:16 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 8E273E24E0 for ; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 01:41:09 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0272703.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 2193wZL9009933 for ; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 07:41:09 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3e3bm34jbc-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Wed, 09 Feb 2022 07:41:08 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 2197f8rL019785-2197f8rN019785 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 01:41:08 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 01:41:07 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 01:41:07 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id CEA591C0EEE; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 07:41:07 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: FIJI: Part 1 Of 2 Message-ID: <20220209074107.CEA591C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Feb 2022 07:41:07 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_probablespam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=63 suspectscore=0 adultscore=0 spamscore=63 mlxscore=63 clxscore=304 impostorscore=0 bulkscore=0 malwarescore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 priorityscore=128 mlxlogscore=-22 phishscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202090052 X-Spam-Score: 63 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: ******* X-Sympa-Topic: Fiji Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 281156 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1644392469-26211-72" X-Proofpoint-GUID: hpxHM5D-vocWXVOMDuiCvnnr8z50OE2j X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: hpxHM5D-vocWXVOMDuiCvnnr8z50OE2j X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 mlxscore=0 priorityscore=1501 malwarescore=0 clxscore=1034 bulkscore=11 impostorscore=0 mlxlogscore=339 phishscore=0 suspectscore=0 adultscore=0 lowpriorityscore=11 spamscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202090052 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1644392469-26211-72 Content-Type: text/plain WTPS11 NFFN 090600 PART 1 OF 2 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A5 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI FEB 090738 UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI CENTRE 987HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4S 169.0E AT 090600 UTC. POSITION GOOD BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 EIR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. DOVI MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT ABOUT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 35 KNOTS. EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 80 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 30 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT AND WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER LLCC WITH PRIMARY BANDS TRYING TO WRAP ONTO THE LLCC FROM THE NORTH. ORGANISATION CONTINUES TO IMPROVE. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE UPPER DIVERGENCE. SST AROUND 29 DEGREE CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND SLOWLY MOVE IT SOUTH THEN SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WITH FURTHER INTENSIFICATION. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON CURVED BAND WITH 0.6 WRAP ON LOG 10 SPIRAL GIVES DT OF 3.0. PT AND MET AGREE. THUS FT BASED ON DT YIELDING T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS. FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 091800 UTC 20.5S 168.6E MOV SSW AT 06KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 100600 UTC 21.7S 167.7E MOV SSW AT 06KT WITH 40 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK : AT 36 HRS VALID AT 101800 UTC 23.3S 166.7E MOV SSW AT 08KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 110600 UTC 25.9S 166.1E MOV SSW AT 09KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE ------------=_1644392469-26211-72 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1644392469-26211-72--