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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id z15si12663137ybl.237.2022.02.09.12.09.57 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Wed, 09 Feb 2022 12:09:57 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0272704.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 219K9NRG000491 for ; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 20:09:57 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3e3c75j4p0-5 for ; Wed, 09 Feb 2022 20:09:56 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 8B269E19D9; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 14:09:56 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 016AAE46FA for ; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 14:09:43 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166258.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 219J61JM030322 for ; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 20:09:43 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3e3a29m1m1-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Wed, 09 Feb 2022 20:09:43 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 219K9g79007100-219K9g7B007100 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 14:09:42 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.14; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 14:09:42 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.14 via Frontend Transport; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 14:09:42 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 271151C0EEE; Wed, 9 Feb 2022 20:09:41 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: FIJI: Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A7 Issued From Rsmc Nadi Message-ID: <20220209200942.271151C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Wed, 9 Feb 2022 20:09:41 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=4 malwarescore=0 phishscore=0 clxscore=316 suspectscore=0 spamscore=4 priorityscore=128 bulkscore=0 adultscore=3 impostorscore=0 mlxlogscore=138 mlxscore=4 lowpriorityscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202090107 X-Spam-Score: 4 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: * X-Sympa-Topic: Fiji Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 281195 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1644437388-26211-180" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: ndQhQbJ-8_hkHvxbxgBbD9oKFw8dTPzw X-Proofpoint-GUID: ndQhQbJ-8_hkHvxbxgBbD9oKFw8dTPzw X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 suspectscore=0 adultscore=0 spamscore=0 bulkscore=1 mlxscore=0 malwarescore=0 impostorscore=0 clxscore=1034 mlxlogscore=500 priorityscore=1501 lowpriorityscore=1 phishscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202090107 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1644437388-26211-180 Content-Type: text/plain WTPS11 NFFN 091800 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A7 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI FEB 091953 UTC. TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI CENTRE 981HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.4S 168.4E AT 091800 UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 EIR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. DOVI MOVING SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 05 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 40 KNOTS. CONVECTION INCREASING IN RADIAL EXTENT WITH CLOUD TOP COOLING. ORGANISATION GOOD WITH PRIMARY BANDS TRYING TO WRAP ONTO THE LLCC FROM THE NORTH. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER RIDGE IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE UPPER DIVERGENCE. SST AROUND 28 DEGREE CELSIUS. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND SLOWLY MOVE IT SOUTH-SOUTHWEST TOWARDS LOWER SHEAR AND GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON CURVED BAND WITH 0.6/0.7 WRAP ON LOG 10 SPIRAL GIVES DT OF 3.0. PT AND MET AGREE. THUS FT BASED ON DT YIELDING T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS. FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 100600 UTC 21.5S 167.5E MOV SW AT 07 KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 101800 UTC 23.0S 166.5E MOV SW AT 08 KT WITH 45 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK : AT 36 HRS VALID AT 110600 UTC 25.5S 165.9E MOV SSW AT 09 KT WITH 50 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 111800 UTC 28.8S 166.0E MOV SSW AT 11 KT WITH 55 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 100200UTC. ------------=_1644437388-26211-180 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1644437388-26211-180--