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Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Message-ID: <20220210011142.5FF991C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Thu, 10 Feb 2022 01:11:42 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 bulkscore=0 clxscore=316 adultscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 spamscore=0 mlxlogscore=483 suspectscore=0 priorityscore=60 phishscore=0 mlxscore=0 malwarescore=0 impostorscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202100005 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 281213 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1644455505-26211-226" X-Proofpoint-GUID: czQeIGJvSotUXvQvf89xk1oegtAbQzRU X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: czQeIGJvSotUXvQvf89xk1oegtAbQzRU X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 malwarescore=0 suspectscore=0 bulkscore=0 priorityscore=1501 phishscore=0 mlxlogscore=845 lowpriorityscore=0 impostorscore=0 spamscore=0 adultscore=0 mlxscore=0 clxscore=1034 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202100005 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1644455505-26211-226 Content-Type: text/plain WTXS21 PGTW 100100 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16.5S 106.7E TO 18.5S 103.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 091800Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 16.7S 106.6E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 110100Z. // 9322020506 99S1021E 15 9322020512 100S1029E 25 9322020518 99S1032E 25 9322020600 99S1036E 25 9322020606 99S1039E 25 9322020612 99S1042E 25 9322020618 100S1046E 25 9322020700 103S1048E 25 9322020706 109S1052E 30 9322020712 123S1054E 30 9322020718 138S1055E 30 9322020800 145S1056E 30 9322020806 152S1057E 30 9322020812 156S1057E 30 9322020818 160S1058E 30 9322020900 165S1060E 30 9322020906 168S1065E 30 9322020912 169S1065E 30 9322020918 167S1066E 30 NNNN ------------=_1644455505-26211-226 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1644455505-26211-226--