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To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion 
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Date: Thu, 10 Feb 2022 14:55:53 +0000
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AXPZ20 KNHC 101448
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Thu Feb 10 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1440 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N77W to 05N96W. The ITCZ 
continues from 05N96W to 10N116W to 10N135W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 01N to 06N east of 82W. Scattered 
moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 08N to 30N 
between 130W and 138W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Moderate to fresh NW wind prevails over the northern Gulf of 
California. Strong to near-gale N winds prevail across the Gulf 
of Tehuantepec, with seas to 8 ft. Elsewhere offshore Mexico, 
light to gentle winds are occurring. Seas are 3 to 6 ft, except 2
to 3 ft in the Gulf of California. 

For the forecast, strong to near-gale winds across the Tehuantepec 
region will diminish slightly today. Moderate NW winds will 
prevail over the northern Gulf of California. Gentle to moderate 
winds will prevail west of Baja California and off Cabo 
Corrientes. The next gale force gap wind event will develop in 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec Sat night.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh to strong winds prevail in the Gulf of Papagayo. Moderate
to fresh winds are noted in the Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle
winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 5-6 ft range in the Gulf
of Papagayo and Gulf of Panama, and 4-5 ft elsewhere. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong winds will pulse at in the 
Gulf of Papagayo through early next week. Moderate to fresh winds
will pulse in the Gulf of Panama each night through Sat night. 
Light to gentle winds will prevail elsewhere. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

High pressure of 1038 mb is centered well north of the area near
46N133W with ridge extending SE into the waters north of 20N. Low
pressure of 1009 mb is centered near 13N139W with surface trough
extending NE to 17N134W. The pressure gradient between these
features is supporting fresh to strong winds north of the trough
to near 20N. Seas are reaching 8 ft over this area. Gentle to 
moderate winds are just north of the ITCZ. Light to gentle winds,
and seas of 5-7 ft prevail elsewhere.

$$
AL


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