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Subject: FIJI: Part 1 Of 2 
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WTPS11 NFFN 101800
PART 1 OF 2
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A11 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
FEB 102000 UTC.
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE DOVI CENTRE 960HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8S
166.3E AT 101800 UTC. POSITION FAIR BASED ON HIMAWARI-8 EIR IMAGERY
AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS.  DOVI MOVING SOUTHWEST AT ABOUT 09
KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT
ABOUT 85 KNOTS. 
EXPECT WINDS OVER 63 KNOTS WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 80 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 40 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
EXPECT WINDS OVER 47 KNOTS WITHIN 105 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 110 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 75 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 50 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 155 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 110 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT
DEEP CONVECTION CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER LLCC WITH RAGGED ELONGATED
EYE DISCERNABLE ON HIMAWARI EIR IMAGERY. SYSTEM LIES UNDER AN UPPER
RIDGE IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW TO THE SOUTH AND
NORTH. TC DOVI STEERED TO THE SOUTHWEST ALONG THE NORTHWESTERN
PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. SST AROUND 27
DEGREE CELSIUS. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON OW EYE SURROUNDED BY LG


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