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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion 
Message-ID: <20220210203347.1924E1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Thu, 10 Feb 2022 20:33:47 +0000
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AXPZ20 KNHC 102033
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Thu Feb 10 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N77W to 06N97W. The ITCZ 
continues from 06N97W to 10N134W. Scattered moderate convection 
is noted from 01N to 06N east of 82W. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted from 13N to 30N between 130W and 
138W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Moderate to fresh winds prevail over the northern Gulf of 
California, and across the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Elsewhere, light
to gentle winds prevail. Seas are 6 to 7 ft over the Gulf of
Tehuantepec and 5-6 ft elsewhere over the open waters off 
Mexico. Seas of 3-4 ft prevail over the northern Gulf of 
California and 1-3 ft elsewhere across the Gulf.

For the forecast, fresh winds will pulse to strong tonight and 
Fri night, then increase to gale force across the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec Sat night. Moderate to fresh winds over the northern 
Gulf of California will diminish tonight. Light to gentle winds 
will prevail elsewhere, reaching moderate speeds off Cabo 
Corrientes this weekend. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh to strong winds prevail in the Gulf of Papagayo. Moderate
winds are noted in the Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle winds 
prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 5-6 ft range in the Gulf of 
Papagayo, and 4-5 ft elsewhere. 

For the forecast, winds will pulse to fresh to strong each night
in the Gulf of Papagayo through early next week. Moderate to 
fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Panama each night through 
Sat night. Light to gentle winds will prevail elsewhere.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

High pressure of 1037 mb is centered well north of the area near
47N134W with ridge extending SE into the waters north of 20N. A
1012 mb low pressure is centered near 13N137W, with surface 
trough extending to 17N134W. The pressure gradient between these
features is supporting fresh to strong winds north of the trough
to near 20N. Seas are reaching 9 ft over this area. Gentle to 
moderate winds are just north of the ITCZ. Light to gentle winds 
are elsewhere north of the ITCZ, with seas of 5-7 ft. Gentle to 
moderate winds prevail south of the ITCZ, with seas in the 5-7 ft
range.

$$
AL


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