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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
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Date: Mon, 14 Feb 2022 22:33:29 +0000
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526 
FZPN01 KWBC 142224
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
2230 UTC MON FEB 14 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FEB 14. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FEB 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FEB 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 36N158E 988 MB MOVING NE 35 KT. S OF 36N W OF 163E WINDS 30
TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 44N175E 957 MB. FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM
43N175E TO 42N179E TO 38N179E TO 30N170E. WITHIN 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 50 TO 70 KT. SEAS 24 TO 34 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN
180 NM NE...240 NM SE...300 NM SW AND 180 NM W QUADRANTS...ALSO
WITHIN 120 NM NE AND E OF FRONT N OF 35N WINDS 40 TO 60 KT. SEAS
16 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 35N TO 45N BETWEEN 171E AND
179W...AND FROM 33N TO 44N W OF 171E...AND WITHIN 180 NM NE...180
NM E AND 240 NM SE OF FRONT WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT.
ALSO S OF 44N W OF 180W...AND WITHIN 300 NM E AND SE OF FRONT
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 50N179E 962 MB. WITHIN 600 NM NE...660 NM
E...1080 NM S...780 NM SW AND 720 NM N QUADRANTS...ALSO N OF 47N
W OF 162E WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 30 FT.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 49N179E 954 MB MOVING NW 15 KT. FROM 45N TO 50N BETWEEN 175W
AND 180W...AND BETWEEN 360 NM AND 600 NM N QUADRANT WINDS 35 TO
50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 1080 NM  NE...1080 NM
E...540 NM SE...1260 NM S...840 NM SW AND 780 NM NW QUADRANTS
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N170E 969 MB. W OF A LINE FROM 58N180W TO
53N170E TO 50N166E WINDS 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE
N OF 45N W OF 165E...AND BETWEEN 360 NM AND 720 NM NW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. ALSO N OF 48N W OF 175W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N166E 984 MB. FORECAST CONDITIONS
DESCRIBED WITH LOW 50N179E.

...GALE WARNING...
.N OF 50N BETWEEN 125W AND 137W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 40N TO 50N BETWEEN 126W AND 130W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT. LOW DISSIPATED INLAND. FROM 46N TO 53N
BETWEEN 126W AND 132W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 43N TO 54N BETWEEN 125W AND 133W WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 42N TO 50N BETWEEN 125W AND 132W WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 32N166W 1008 MB MOVING N 40 KT. WITHIN 240 NM E OF A LINE
FROM 45N163W TO 30N168W WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 17 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 48N165W 1002 MB. FROM 42N TO 50N BETWEEN
157N AND 165W...ALSO FROM 36N TO 42N BETWEEN 153W AND 160W WINDS
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 35N TO 52N BETWEEN
151W AND 166W...ALSO S OF 35N BETWEEN 150W AND 155W WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 58N162W 998 MB. WITHIN 600 NM E QUADRANT
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 54N TO 61N
BETWEEN 142W AND 164W...ALSO FROM 43N TO 54N BETWEEN 145W AND
154W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 33N TO 40N BETWEEN 119W AND 127W WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 34N TO 42N BETWEEN 123W AND 130W WINDS 25
TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 32N TO 42N BETWEEN
123W AND 135W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.

...GALE WARNING
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 34N TO 40N W OF 162E WINDS 25 TO 35 KT.
SEAS TO 12 FT.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N W OF 172W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N W OF
173W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N W OF
174W.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM FROM 53N TO 60N W OF
155W...ALSO FROM 50N TO 54N BETWEEN 165W AND 170W...ALSO N OF 46N
BETWEEN 164E AND 170E.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 44N TO 54N BETWEEN 160W AND
167W...AND N OF 45N W OF 175E...ALSO WITHIN 180 NM N  OF A LINE
FROM 54N173E TO 60N166W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 49N BETWEEN 154W AND 160W...ALSO
FROM 55N TO 60N BETWEEN 141W AND 151W...ALSO N OF 57N W OF
161W...AND FROM 45N TO 53N BETWEEN 172E AND 180W...ALSO N OF 48N
W OF 164E.

.HIGH 44N146W 1038 MB MOVING NE 15 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 46N140W 1041 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 42N140W 1040 MB.

.FORECASTER SHAW. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON FEB 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE FEB 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED FEB 16.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 14N94W TO 11N95W TO 12N97W TO 14N97W TO 16N95W TO 
14N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 
45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 10N95W TO 09N98W TO 
10N105W TO 16N100W TO 16N93W TO 10N95W NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 06N95W TO 09N105W TO 
14N102W TO 16N96W TO 12N91W TO 06N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15N95W TO 14.5N95.5W TO 15N96W TO 
16N95W TO 16N94.5W TO 15N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 16N93W TO 12N96W TO 13N98W TO 14.5N96W TO 
16N95W TO 16N93W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 03N93W TO 06N109W TO 14N106W TO 16N96W 
TO 14N93W TO 03N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN N TO 
NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 14N95.5W TO 15N95W 
15.5N95W TO 16N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 10N86W TO 09N88W TO 10N89W TO 11N89W TO 11N86W TO
10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 09N88W TO 09N90W TO 11N90W TO 11N88W TO 
11N86W TO 09N88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N86W TO 11N86W TO 10N87W TO 10N88W
TO 11N88W TO 12N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE 
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N91W TO 00N103W TO 04N111W TO 12N112W 
TO 11N94W TO 08N91W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 08N96W TO 05N101W TO 04N112W TO 09N111W
TO 12N106W TO 09N102W TO 08N96W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN DECAYING NE TO E SWELL.

.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 12N136W TO 14N140W TO 24N140W TO 
19N138W TO 17N134W TO 12N136W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 
TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N134W TO 12N140W TO 17N140W TO 
22N140W TO 20N133W TO 14N134W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 10 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 29N114W TO 27N117W TO 24N128W. 
WITHIN 29N117W TO 28N120W TO 28N124W TO 30N127W TO 30N116W TO 
29N117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WEAKENING COLD FRONT FROM 29N112W TO 23N118W 
TO 21N121W. WITHIN 30N116W TO 28N118W TO 27N119W TO 28N127W TO 
30N131W TO 30N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW TO 
N SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA 30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30N113W TO 29N113W 
TO 30N115W TO 32N115W TO 31N113W TO 30N113W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 
30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N112W TO 29N113W TO 32N115W TO 
31N114W TO 30N113W TO 29N112W...INCLUDING GULF OF CALIFORNIA... 
SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT EXCEPT NW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT N OF 29N. 
SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2200 UTC MON FEB 14...

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 01N TO 09N BETWEEN 78W AND 84W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 05N90W TO 04N98W. ITCZ EXTENDS 
FROM 04N98W TO 05N110W TO 07N120W TO 08N130W TO 09N140W.
NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION IS NOTED.


.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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