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From: <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
Subject: North Pacific: High Seas Analysis
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
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Date: Tue, 15 Feb 2022 04:30:06 +0000
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375 
FZPN01 KWBC 150420
HSFEP1

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER WASHINGTON DC
0430 UTC TUE FEB 15 2022

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS 

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE 
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE 
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. 

ONLY YOU KNOW THE WEATHER AT YOUR POSITION. REPORT IT TO THE 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. EMAIL US AT 
VOSOPS@NOAA.GOV(LOWERCASE).

SECURITE

PACIFIC N OF 30N AND S OF 67N E OF A LINE FROM BERING STRAIT 
TO 50N 160E

ALL FORECASTS VALID OVER ICE FREE FORECAST WATERS

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FEB 15. 
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FEB 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FEB 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...
.LOW 36N163E 982 MB MOVING NE 35 KT AND RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING.
WITHIN 300 NM SE AND 360 NM S QUADRANTS WINDS 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS
15 TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 30N TO 39N W OF 170E WINDS 25 TO 40
KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 45N177E 958 MB. WITHIN 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 50 TO 65 KT. SEAS 22 TO 36 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM SE
AND 840 NM SW QUADRANTS AND 120 NM NE AND E OF A FRONT TO EXTEND
FROM THE LOW TO 46N178E TO 45N177W TO 40N177W TO 35N180W WINDS 40
TO 50 KT. SEAS 18 TO 24 FT. ALSO WITHIN 360 NM NE...900 NM
SE...1020 NM SW...AND 180 NM NW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS
12 TO 22 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 51N179E 970 MB. WITHIN 660 NM E...1200 NM
SE...AND 780 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 28
FT.

...STORM WARNING...
.LOW 51N178E 964 MB MOVING W 15 KT. WITHIN 360 NM E QUADRANT AND
NW AND W OF A LINE FROM 59N176W TO 53N173E WINDS 40 TO 50 KT.
SEAS 15 TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 540 NM N AND E...840 NM
S...AND 660 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 22 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 52N168E 973 MB. WITHIN 720 NM NE...480 NM
SW...AND 300 NM W QUADRANTS WINDS 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 28
FT...HIGHEST NEAR 51N163E.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW 49N167E 988 MB. WITHIN 360 NM S AND 300 NM
W QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 22 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.LOW 37N168W 1004 MB MOVING N 40 KT. WITHIN 840 NM NE...480 NM
SE...AND 720 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 23
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW 54N167W 1001 MB. WITHIN 420 NM E AND 1260
NM SE QUADRANTS WINDS 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW INLAND NEAR 60N158W 1005 MB. BETWEEN 300 NM
AND 720 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.N OF 49N BETWEEN 146W AND 160W AREA OF S TO SW WINDS 25 TO 35
KT. SEAS 8 TO 20 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

...GALE WARNING...
.FROM 42N TO 57N BETWEEN 127W AND 137W AREA OF NW TO N WINDS 25
TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 240 NM E OF A LINE FROM 54N140W TO
50N134W TO 43N141W AREA OF NW TO N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO
14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 43N TO 50N E OF 132W AREA OF NW TO N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 31N TO 44N BETWEEN 118W AND 133W AREA OF
NW TO N WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 14 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 43N BETWEEN 123W AND 132W AREA OF N
WINDS 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT.

...GALE WARNING...
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 32N TO 42N W OF 169W AREA OF S TO SW WINDS
25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...
.MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N W OF ALASKA. ELSEWHERE
LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N W OF ALASKA.
.24 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 60N W OF
ALASKA. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N W OF
ALASKA.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MODERATE TO HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF 59N W OF
ALASKA. ELSEWHERE LIGHT TO MODERATE FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N W OF
ALASKA.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 30N TO 36N BETWEEN 139W AND 156W AREA OF E TO SE WINDS TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 30N TO 35N BETWEEN 144W AND 154W AREA OF E
TO SE WINDS TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS DIMINISHED.

.DENSE FOG. VSBY OCCASIONALLY LESS THAN 1 NM N OF 45N W OF 171E
AND FROM 56N TO 62N W OF 142W AND WITHIN 120 NM E OF A LINE FROM
55N161W TO 47N165W.
.24 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG N OF 41N W OF 170E AND FROM 43N TO
48N BETWEEN 179E AND 173E AND 47N TO 63N BETWEEN 151W AND 171W.
.48 HOUR FORECAST DENSE FOG FROM 47N TO 60N BETWEEN 170W AND 172E
AND FROM 46N TO 57N BETWEEN 148W AND 155W.

.HIGH 47N144W 1042 MB MOVING SE 05 KT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 46N141W 1040 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 44N137W 1040 MB.

.24 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 31N167W 1023 MB.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH DISSIPATED.

.48 HOUR FORECAST HIGH 31N177E 1027 MB.

.FORECASTER BELL. OCEAN PREDICTION CENTER.

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE FEB 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED FEB 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU FEB 17.

.WARNINGS.

.WARNINGS.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 15N94W TO 14N96W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 
15N94W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 
45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 12N95W TO 10N99W TO 
10N105W TO 16N96W TO 16N94W TO 12N95W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. 
SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 08N88W TO 05N100W TO 
09N107W TO 16N102W TO 15N93W TO 08N88W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT IN N TO NE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15.5N94.5W TO 15.5N95W TO 16N95.5W TO 
16.5N95W TO 16.5N94.5W TO 15.5N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
15N95W TO 15N96W TO 16N95W TO 16N94W TO 15N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 14N94.5W TO 13.5N94.5W TO 13.5N95.5W TO
16N95W TO 16N94.5W TO 14N94.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF 
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 12N87W TO 12N86W TO 11N86W TO
10N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30
KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 10N86W TO 10N88W TO 11N88W TO
12N87W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 11N86W TO 10N87W TO 10N89W TO 11N89W TO
13N87W TO 11N86W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO... NE TO E 
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN 13N89W TO 12N91W TO 13N91W TO 14N90W TO 13N89W N TO NE
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 29N121W TO 29N124W TO 29N127W TO
30N127W TO 30N118W TO 29N121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN NW TO N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS MERGED WITH AREA DESCRIBED BELOW. 

.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH W OF AREA. WITHIN 14N132W TO 11N134W TO
14N140W TO 19N140W TO 17N134W TO 14N132W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 
KT. SEAS 8 FT IN NE TO E SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH DISSIPATED. WITHIN 20N131W TO 14N131W 
TO 09N140W TO 30N140W TO 20N131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT IN N TO NE SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 02N92W TO 00N103W TO 08N113W TO 14N108W
TO 13N92W TO 02N92W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NE 
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 06N108W TO 07N112W TO 09N113W TO 
12N106W TO 10N103W TO 06N108W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN 
NE TO E SWELL.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA 24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 31N113W TO 30N114W 
TO 31N115W TO 31N114W TO 31N113W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS IMPROVE. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0330 UTC TUE FEB 15...

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N86W TO 03N97W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 03N97W 
TO 06N122W TO BEYOND 08N140W. ISOLATED CONVECTION FROM 04N TO 07N
BETWEEN 103W AND 109W. 


.FORECASTER AREINHART. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

$$


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