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Formation Of A Significant Tropical Cyclone Is Possible Within Message-ID: <20220215224556.B8FE61C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Tue, 15 Feb 2022 22:45:56 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 impostorscore=0 priorityscore=130 bulkscore=0 adultscore=0 mlxscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 spamscore=0 suspectscore=0 malwarescore=0 phishscore=0 clxscore=341 mlxlogscore=445 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202150130 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 281664 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1644965163-26211-2787" X-Proofpoint-GUID: UcPQ3EZ3X3rzBgMrq4uBFFNwllqr8pUM X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: UcPQ3EZ3X3rzBgMrq4uBFFNwllqr8pUM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 lowpriorityscore=0 malwarescore=0 priorityscore=1501 bulkscore=0 mlxlogscore=782 suspectscore=0 mlxscore=0 spamscore=0 adultscore=0 impostorscore=0 clxscore=1034 phishscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202150130 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1644965163-26211-2787 Content-Type: text/plain WTXS21 PGTW 152300 RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 160 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.2S 72.0E TO 14.4S 62.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 152230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 14.2S 72.0E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 17 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 162300Z. // 9622021418 145S 793E 20 9622021500 146S 773E 20 9622021506 144S 755E 20 9622021512 143S 738E 25 9622021518 142S 720E 30 NNNN ------------=_1644965163-26211-2787 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1644965163-26211-2787--