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Subject: Indian-S: Ampn/ref Is Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (wtxs21 Pgtw 152300)// 
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Date: Wed, 16 Feb 2022 03:21:26 +0000
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WTXS22 PGTW 160300
REF/B/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/152251Z FEB 22//
AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 152300)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
220 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 14.8S 92.1E TO 20.7S 88.2E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 160230Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 15.5S 91.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 08
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS:
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. THIS SUPERSEDES REF A.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 170300Z.
4. SEE REF B FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT
LOCATED NEAR 14.2S 72.0E
//
9722021412 146S 983E  20
9722021418 145S 968E  25
9722021500 144S 955E  25
9722021506 145S 939E  25
9722021512 148S 932E  30
9722021518 151S 924E  30
9722021600 155S 917E  30
NNNN


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