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Subject: Indian-S: Circulation Over Equatorial India Ocean And Adjoining Southeast Bay 
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WWIN40 DEMS 160730
IWB (MORNING) DATED 16-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

* THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY
ALONG LONG.75OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.30ON PERSISTS.

* THE TROUGH IN EASTERLIES OVER ANDAMAN SEA NOW SEEN AS A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION OVER EQUATORIAL INDIA OCEAN AND ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY
OF BENGAL & SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA EXTENDING UPTO 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL.

*A FRESH FEEBLE WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS VERY LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN

 HIMALAYAN REGION FROM THE NIGHT OF 17TH FEBRUARY, 2022.

*THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH GUJARAT & NEIGHBOURHOOD
EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR AND
ARUNACHAL PRADESH.

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS; AT A FEW PLACES OVER LAKSHADWEEP AND AT ISOLATED PLACES
OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY &
KARAIKAL, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA AND KERALA & MAHE (.) DRY OVER
REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

16 FEBRUARY (DAY 1): *HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY
OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.

*THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.

17 FEBRUARY (DAY 2): *THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.=

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