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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id 11si29790663ybj.82.2022.02.17.18.27.29 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Thu, 17 Feb 2022 18:27:29 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166256.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 21I2N8Gl002933 for ; Fri, 18 Feb 2022 02:27:28 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3e8neguvmp-6 for ; Fri, 18 Feb 2022 02:27:28 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 2221FE4123; Thu, 17 Feb 2022 20:27:28 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 5CC56E2194 for ; Thu, 17 Feb 2022 20:27:16 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166256.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 21I1uTRD027765 for ; Fri, 18 Feb 2022 02:27:15 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3e8neguvkx-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Fri, 18 Feb 2022 02:27:15 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 21I2RErn027636-21I2RErp027636 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Thu, 17 Feb 2022 20:27:14 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.15; Thu, 17 Feb 2022 20:27:14 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.15 via Frontend Transport; Thu, 17 Feb 2022 20:27:14 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 0C8BB1C0EEE; Fri, 18 Feb 2022 02:27:13 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (invest 97s) Cancellation// Message-ID: <20220218022714.0C8BB1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Fri, 18 Feb 2022 02:27:13 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 bulkscore=0 mlxlogscore=999 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxscore=0 adultscore=0 malwarescore=0 spamscore=0 impostorscore=0 priorityscore=283 clxscore=326 phishscore=0 suspectscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202180012 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 281782 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1645151241-112669-1291" X-Proofpoint-GUID: XqMQcuVB-jEPNcpWtrF6z-c8Wvfl8hYT X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: XqMQcuVB-jEPNcpWtrF6z-c8Wvfl8hYT X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 bulkscore=0 mlxlogscore=999 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxscore=0 adultscore=0 malwarescore=0 spamscore=0 impostorscore=0 priorityscore=1501 clxscore=1034 phishscore=0 suspectscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2202180012 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1645151241-112669-1291 Content-Type: text/plain WTXS22 PGTW 180300 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 97S) CANCELLATION// REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/170251ZFEB2022// AMPN/REF A IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT// RMKS/ 1. REMARKS: THIS CANCELS REF A (WTXS22 PGTW 170300). THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 97S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 20.7S 88.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.6S 87.4E, APPROXIMATELY 917NM SOUTHWEST OF THE COCOS ISLANDS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 180047Z SSMIS 91GHZ PARTIAL MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT LARGE FRONTAL BANDING ON THE EASTERN PORTION OF A BROAD, POORLY-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINAL DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW AND WARM (27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SSTS) OFFSET BY MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (15-20 KTS). ADDITIONALLY, THE SYSTEM WILL SOON BE ENTERING SSTS LESS THAN 26C. GLOBAL MODELS TO INCLUDE GFS, ECMWF, AND NAVGEM ARE IN AGREEMENT TRACKING THE SYSTEM SOUTHWARD OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AND BEGINNING SUBTROPICAL TRANSITION AS IT ENTERS THE MID- LATITUDES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 997 MB. IN VIEW OF THE UNFAVORABLE FORECAST FOR THIS SYSTEM, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED TO MEDIUM. // NNNN ------------=_1645151241-112669-1291 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1645151241-112669-1291--