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Subject: Indian-S: *the Cyclonic Circulation Over Southeast Bay Of Bengal & Adjoining 
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WWIN40 DEMS 190830
IWB (MORNING) DATED 19-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

* THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER MADHYA MAHARASHTRA & NEIGHBOURHOOD
EXTENDING UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE

MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

*THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING
ANDAMAN SEA EXTENDING UPTO

3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW LIES OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL &
ADJOINING NORTH ANDAMAN SEA

AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

* A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN
REGION FROM 22ND FEBRUARY,

2022. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, AN INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS
LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTH PAKISTAN &

ADJOINING SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN ON 22ND FEBRUARY, 2022.

*THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8

KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.70OE TO THE NORTH OF
LAT.30ON HAS MOVED AWAY EASTNORTHEASTWARDS.

* THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST RAJASTHAN &
NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 1.5

KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS AND ARUNACHAL PRADESH; AT A FEW PLACES OVER ASSAM-MEGHALAYA
AND NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZORAM-TRIPURA AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
MADHYA PRADESH, WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM, ODISHA, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY &
KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE (.) DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)



WEATHER WARNINGS:-

19 FEBRUARY (DAY 1): *THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES VERY

LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.

20 FEBRUARY (DAY 2): *THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING &
HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY

LIKELY OVER EAST ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND NORTHEAST ASSAM AND WITH
LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND NAGALAND,
MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.

* HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ARUNACHAL
PRADESH.=

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