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Subject: Indian-S: Long. 92oe To The North Of Lat 26on. 
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WWIN40 DEMS 200630
IWB (MORNING) DATED 20-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

*A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA ADJOINING
KERALA COAST BETWEEN 1.5 KM & 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

* A TROUGH RUNS FROM EAST BIHAR TO EAST VIDARBHA ACROSS JHARKHAND
AND CHHATTISGARH AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

* A TROUGH AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG
LONG. 92OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT 26ON.

* A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN
REGION FROM THE NIGHT OF 21ST FEBRUARY, 2022. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE,
 AN INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTH
PAKISTAN & ADJOINING SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN ON 22ND FEBRUARY, 2022.

* THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER MADHYA MAHARASHTRA & NEIGHBOURHOOD
EXTENDING UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.


RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-
GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD AND HIMACHAL PRADESH (.)

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH;
AT MANY PLACES OVER ASSAM-MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZ
ORAM-TRIPURA; AT A FEW PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS AND WEST
BENGAL-SIKKIM AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ODISHA, JHARKHAND,
TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

20 FEBRUARY (DAY 1): * THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING &
HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER EAST ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND
NORTHEAST ASSAM.

*HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ARUNACHAL
PRADESH.

21 FEBRUARY (DAY 2): * THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.=

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