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Subject: Indian-S: South Pakistan & Adjoining Southwest Rajasthan On 22nd 
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WWIN40 DEMS 210300

IWB (MORNING) DATED 21-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE SEEN AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.50OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.23ON. UNDER ITS
INFLUENCE, AN INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER
SOUTH PAKISTAN & ADJOINING SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN ON 22ND
FEBRUARY, 2022.

 A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND
EXTENDS UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 A TROUGH IN WESTERLIES BETWEEN 3.6 KM & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.90OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.22ON.

 A TROUGH RUNS FROM  NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA TO KERALA AND EXTENDS
UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 THE TROUGH FROM EAST BIHAR TO EAST VIDARBHA ACROSS JHARKHAND AND
CHHATTISGARH AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.


RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-
BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD AND AT MANY PLACES HIMACHAL PRADESH AND
ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND (.)


RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MANY PLACES OVER ASSAM-MEGHALAYA AND
NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZORAM-TRIPURA; AT A FEW PLACES OVER PUNJAB AND
AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, SUB-HIMALAYAN
WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM, WEST UTTAR PRADESH, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI,
RAJASTHAN,  TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE (.)


DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)



WEATHER WARNINGS:-

21 FEBRUARY (DAY 1):  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA.


22 FEBRUARY (DAY 2):  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING &
GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER PUNJAB AND HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND WITH LIGHTNING
AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU- KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-
MUZAFFARABAD AND HIMACHAL PRADESH.


 HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER JAMMU
DIVISION.=

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