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WWIN40 DEMS 211500
IWB (EVENING) DATED 21-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

* THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
 WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS
ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 52OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 23ON. UNDER ITS
INFLUENCE, AN INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER
SOUTH PAKISTAN & ADJOINING SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN ON 22ND FEBRUARY,
2022.

*THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING

UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

*THE TROUGH IN WESTERLIES BETWEEN 3.6 KM & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 91OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.22ON.

*THE TROUGH FROM NORTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA TO KERALA EXTENDING UPTO
0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL:

AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MU
ZAFFARABAD

AND HIMACHAL PRADESH (.)

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS:

AT MANY PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM-MEGHALAYA AND
NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZORAM-TRIPURA;

AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER PUNJAB, ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS,
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL
AND KERALA & MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

21 FEBRUARY (DAY 1): *THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM,
ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM
& TRIPURA.

22 FEBRUARY (DAY 2): *THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING &
GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER PUNJAB AND HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND WITH LIGHTNING
AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU- KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGI
T-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD
AND HIMACHAL PRADESH.

* HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER
JAMMU
DIVISION.=

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