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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Lat. 32on. 
Message-ID: <20220223141005.9F1281C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Wed, 23 Feb 2022 14:10:05 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 231400
IWB (EVENING) DATED 23-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

* THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH
PAKISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 3.1 KM & 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN
SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. HOWEVER, THE TROUGH ALOFT IN UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN
SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 70OE TO THE NORTH OF
LAT. 32ON.

*THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER PUNJAB & NEIGHBOURHOOD
EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

*THE TROUGH FROM THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER PUNJAB
& NEIGHBOURHOOD TO NORTHWEST MADHYA PRADESH EXTENDING UPTO
1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

*THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN &
NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS.

*THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD
EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

* THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA &
NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS.

*THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER COMORIN AREA  & NEIGHBOURHOOD
BETWEEN 1.5 KM & 3.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

*A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN
HIMALAYAN REGION FROM 25TH FEBRUARY, 2022.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL:-AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-
GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, AT MANY PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH,
AT A FEW PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND AND AT ISOALTED PLACES OVER
ARUNACHAL PRADESH.

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS:- AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS, AT A FEW PLACES OVER LAKSHADWEEP; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, BIHAR,
JHARKHAND, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ODISHA, PUNJAB, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH
& DELHI, WEST UTTAR PRADESH, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, VIDARBHA,
CHHATTISGARH,  TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARAIKAL AND KERALA & MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

23 FEBRUARY (DAY 1):

* HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER JAMMU-
KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD.

*THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED
PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER UTTARAKHAND AND WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU- KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-
MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.

24 FEBRUARY (DAY 2):

*THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES
VERY LIKELY OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH, BIHAR,
JHARKHAND, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.=

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