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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Long. 74oe To The North Of Lat. 32on. 
Message-ID: <20220224151715.94DBA1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Thu, 24 Feb 2022 15:17:15 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 241200

IWB (EVENING) DATED 24-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH
PAKISTAN AND ADJOINING JAMMU & KASHMIR AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL PERSISTS. THE TROUGH ALOFT IN UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES
WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG
LONG. 74OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 32ON.

 THE OTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER
NORTHEAST AFGHANISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH & ADJOINING EAST
RAJASTHAN NOW LIES OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND
EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 THE TROUGH NOW RUNS FROM THE ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER WEST
MADHYA PRADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD TO NAGALAND ACROSS EAST MADHYA
PRADESH, SOUTHEAST UTTAR PRADESH, JHARKHAND, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL
AND ASSAM AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD
AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN
SEA & NEIGHBOURHOOD AROUND 27TH FEBRUARY 2022.

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN
REGION FROM THE NIGHT OF 28TH FEBRUARY, 2022.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT MOST PLACES OVER
JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD AND HIMACHAL
PRADESH, AT A FEW PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND AND ISOLATED PLACES OVER
ARUNACHAL PRADESH (.)


RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT A FEW PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS, ASSAM-MEGHALAYA AND NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZORAM-TRIPURA,
WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM, JHARKHAND, BIHAR, PUNJAB,
HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI AND LAKSHADWEEP AND AT ISOLATED
PLACES OVER UTTAR PRADESH, ODISHA, RAJASTHAN, EAST MADHYA PRADESH,
VIDARBHA, CHHATTISGARH, TAMILNADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL AND
KERALA-MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

24 FEBRUARY (DAY 1):  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AND
HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER UTTARAKHAND,
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, EAST MADHYA PRADESH,
CHHATTISGARH, JHARKHAND AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD,
HIMACHAL PRADESH, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, VIDARBHA, BIHAR,
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.


25 FEBRUARY (DAY 2):  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AND
HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER UTTARAKHAND AND
ASSAM-MEGHALAYA AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD,
HIMACHAL PRADESH, PUNJAB, HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, BIHAR,
JHARKHAND, WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM, ODISHA,
NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZORAM-TRIPURA AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.=

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