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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Afghanistan & Neighbourhood Now Lies Over North Pakistan & 
Message-ID: <20220225161201.145D61C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Fri, 25 Feb 2022 16:12:01 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 251600
IWB (EVENING) DATED 25-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

 THE TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS
AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 83OE TO
THE NORTH OF LAT. 25ON.

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST
AFGHANISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD NOW LIES OVER NORTH PAKISTAN &
NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 3.1 KM & 7.6 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

  THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN &
ADJOINING PAKISTAN EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH & ADJOINING
CHHATTISGARH EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE TROUGH FROM THE ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER OVER EAST MADHYA
PRADESH & ADJOINING CHHATTISGARH TO NAGALAND ACROSS JHARKHAND,
GANGETIC WEST BENGAL & ASSAM EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL PERSISTS.

 A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA &
NEIGHBOURHOOD AROUND 27TH FEBRUARY 2022. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A LOW
PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL &
ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS.

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN
REGION FROM THE NIGHT OF 28TH FEBRUARY, 2022.


RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS:- AT MOST PLACE OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH
-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD AND HIMACHAL PRADESH; AT MANY PLACES
OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA
AND UTTARAKHAND; AT A FEW PLACES OVER NAGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM &
TIRPURA, WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, JHARKHAND, BIHAR, HARYANA, CHNADIGARH
& DELHI AND PUNJAB AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ODISHA, UTTAR PRADESH,
RAJASTHAN, CHHATTISGARH, TAMILNADU, PUDUCHERRY & KARIAKAL AND KERALA
& MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

25 FEBRUARY (DAY 1):-  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AND
HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB,
HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, NORTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH, BIHAR,
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM AND MEGHALAYA AND WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MU
ZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH,  NORTH RAJASTHAN, JHARKHAND, GANGETIC
WEST BENGAL, ODISHA, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZ
ORAM-TRIPURA AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.

26 FEBRUARY (DAY 2):-  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL
AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER UTTARAKHAND AND WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MU
ZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, BIHAR, JHARKHAND, ARUNACHAL PRADESH,
ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.

 HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER
ARUNACHAL PRADESH.=

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