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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S:  The Induced Cyclonic Circulation Over West Rajasthan & 
Message-ID: <20220226070717.D21571C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sat, 26 Feb 2022 07:07:17 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 260700

IWB (MORNING) DATED 26-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE NOW SEEN AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.72OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.30ON.

 THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER WEST RAJASTHAN &
NEIGHBOURHOOD NOW LIES OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF RAJASTHAN &
 NEIGHBOURHOOD AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

  A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER EAST BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD
 AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA &
NEIGHBOURHOOD AROUND 27TH FEBRUARY 2022. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A LOW
PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL &
ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS.

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN
REGION FROM THE NIGHT OF 28TH FEBRUARY, 2022.

 THE TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS
 AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 88OE TO THE
 NORTH OF LAT. 25ON HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH ODISHA & NEIGHBOURHOOD
EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.

 THE TROUGH FROM THE ABOVE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH ODISHA
 & NEIGHBOURHOOD TO NAGALAND ACROSS GANGETIC WEST BENGAL & ASSAM
EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.


RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT MOST PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND, AT MANY PLACES
OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH AND ARUNACHAL PRADESH; AT A FEW PLACES OVER
JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD(.)


RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS; AT A FEW PLACES OVER PUNJAB, WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND ASSAM
-MEGHALAYA AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI,
 EAST UTTAR PRADESH, WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM, JHARKHAND, BIHAR, ODISHA,
NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZORAM-TRIPURA, TAMILNADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL AND
KERALA-MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

26 FEBRUARY (DAY 1): \U2666 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING
 & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY
OVER WEST ASSAM & MEGHALAYA; WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED
PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND AND NORTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH AND WITH
 LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-
BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, PUNJAB, HARYANA-
CHANDIGARH-DELHI, ARUNACHAL PRADESH,  AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS.

27 FEBRUARY (DAY 2): \U2666 HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
 LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.

\U2666THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED
30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
 ISLANDS AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR,
JHARKHAND, WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM AND ARUNACHAL PRADESH.

\U2666 SQUALLY WEATHER (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY
 LIKELY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL
. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=

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