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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S:  The Western Disturbance As A Trough In Middle & Upper Tropospheric 
Message-ID: <20220226153110.459371C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sat, 26 Feb 2022 15:31:10 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 261200

IWB (EVENING) DATED 26-02-2022


METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:


 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS
ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.74OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.30ON.

 THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF RAJASTHAN &
NEIGHBOURHOOD NOW LIES OVER NORTHERN PARTS OF RAJASTHAN &
NEIGHBOURHOOD AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER EAST BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT
0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER STRAIT OF MALACCA & NEIGHBOURHOOD
EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS. IT IS LIKELY
TO EMERGE OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & NEIGHBOURHOOD ON 27TH FEBRUARY
2022. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM
OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA DURING
SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS.

 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT WESTERN HIMALAYAN
REGION FROM THE NIGHT OF 28TH FEBRUARY, 2022.


RAINFALL FORECAST:-


RAINFALL/SNOWFALL:

AT MOST PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND,

AT MANY PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH AND ARUNACHAL PRADESH;

AT A FEW PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-
MUZAFFARABAD(.)


RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS:

AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS;

AT A FEW PLACES OVER PUNJAB, WEST UTTAR PRADESH AND ASSAM-MEGHALAYA
AND

AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH,
HARYANA-CHANDIGARH-DELHI, EAST UTTAR PRADESH, WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM,
JHARKHAND, BIHAR, ODISHA, NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZORAM-TRIPURA,
TAMILNADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL AND KERALA-MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-


26 FEBRUARY (DAY 1):  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING
& GUSTY WINDS (SPEED 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY
OVER WEST ASSAM & MEGHALAYA; WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED
PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND, NORTHWEST UTTAR PRADESH AND ODISHA AND
WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-
BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, PUNJAB, NORTH HARYANA-
CHANDIGARH, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, CHHATTISGARH, ARUNACHAL PRADESH
AND ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.


27 FEBRUARY (DAY 2):  HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS.

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED
30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER BIHAR, JHARKHAND,
WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM AND ARUNACHAL PRADESH.

 SQUALLY WEATHER (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY
LIKELY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.
FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=

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