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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-N: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Indian 
Message-ID: <20220227033849.F32D51C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sun, 27 Feb 2022 03:38:49 +0000
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ABIO10 PGTW 261800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/261800Z-271800ZFEB2022//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261351ZFEB2022//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/261352ZFEB2022//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY:
      (1) AT 26FEB22 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (VERNON) WAS
LOCATED NEAR 14.2S 88.0E, APPROXIMATELY 10037 NM WEST-NORTHWEST OF
MANZANILLO, AND HAD TRACKED WEST- NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT
100 KNOTS GUSTING TO 125 KNOTS. SEE REF A (WTXS31 PGTW 261500) FOR
FURTHER DETAILS.
      (2) AT 26FEB22 1200Z, TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (ANIKA) WAS LOCATED
NEAR 13.7S 126.9E, APPROXIMATELY 245 NM WEST-SOUTHWEST OF DARWIN,
AUSTRALIA, AND HAD TRACKED SOUTH- SOUTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 55
KNOTS GUSTING TO 70 KNOTS. SEE REF B (WTXS32 PGTW 261500) FOR
FURTHER DETAILSS.
      (3) NO OTHER TROPICAL CYCLONES.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
      (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 93S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.4S 88.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.8S 91.3E, APPROXIMATELY 329
NM WEST OF COCOS ISLANDS, AUSTRALIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED
SATELLITE IMAGERY (EIR) DEPICTS FLARING CONVECTION PARTIALLY
OBSCURING A LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). THE ENVIRONMENT IS
MARGINALLY-FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT WITH HIGH (30-
40KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSET BY WARM (29-30C) SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES AND MODERATE POLEWARD OUTFLOW. GLOBAL NUMERICAL MODELS
AGREE THAT INVEST 93S WILL COMPLETE ITS BINARY INTERACTION WITH TC
14S WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 28 TO 33 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1001 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
      (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.//
NNNN


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