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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-N:      Tropical Weather Outlook 
Message-ID: <20220227060838.E1AC51C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sun, 27 Feb 2022 06:08:38 +0000
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WTIN20 DEMS 270606


     TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 27.02.2022


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC
OF 27.02.2022 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 27.02.2022.


BAY OF BENGAL:


A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER STRAIT OF MALACCA & ADJOINING
SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND EXTENDS UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL .
UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER
SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA DURING
SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS


SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO
VERY INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL SOUTH OF
LATITUDE 10.00N, SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND STRAIT OF MALACCA
(MINIMUM CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURE MINUS 750C).

PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS   24-48 HOURS   48-72 HOURS   72-96 HOURS   96-120 HOURS

  NIL          NIL          NIL            NIL             NIL


ARABIAN SEA:


SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH COMORIN AREA.


PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:


24 HOURS   24-48 HOURS   48-72 HOURS    72-96 HOURS   96-120 HOURS

   NIL        NIL             NIL           NIL          NIL


REMARKS: NIL=

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