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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-N: Dems-rsmc Special Tropical Cyclones New Delhi Dated 27.02.2022 
Message-ID: <20220227104301.9E1CC1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sun, 27 Feb 2022 10:43:01 +0000
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WTIN20 DEMS 271030
TROPICAL W EATHER OUTLOOK
DEMS-RSMC SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 27.02.2022
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
AND
ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
27.02.2022 BASED
ON 0300 UTC OF 27.02.2022.
BAY OF BENGAL:
A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LAY OVER STRAIT OF MALACCA & ADJOINING SOUTH
ANDAMAN
SEA W ITH VERTICAL EXTENSION UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300
UTC OF
TODAY, THE 27TH FEBRUARY, 2022. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND
CONCENTRATE INTO A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL
DURING
NEXT 48 HOURS. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE FURTHER TOWARDS SRI LANKA COAST
DURING
SUBSEQUENT 48 HOURS.
SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO
VERY
INTENSE CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL SOUT H OF
LATITUDE
10.00N, SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND STRAIT OF MALACCA (MINIMUM CLOUD TOP
TEMPERATURE MINUS 750C).
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
   24 HOURS       24-48 HOURS  48-72 HOURS     72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
         NIL           NIL           NIL             NIL         NIL
ARABIAN SEA:
SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH COMORIN AREA.
PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT 120
HRS:
     24 HOURS     24-48 HOURS  48-72 HOURS     72-96 HOURS 96-120
HOURS
          NIL          NIL           NIL             NIL         NIL
REMARKS: NIL=

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