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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: \u2666 The Trough In Middle & Upper Tropospheric Westerlies With 
Message-ID: <20220227153536.BF4271C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sun, 27 Feb 2022 15:35:36 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 271500

IWB (EVENING) DATED 27-02-2022


METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

\U2666 THE TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH
ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.
 80OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.28ON.

\U2666 THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & ADJOINING
EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND UNDER ITS
INFLUENCE, A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTHEAST BAY
 OF BENGAL DURING NEXT 48 HOURS. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE FURTHER
TOWARDS SRI LANKA COAST DURING SUBSEQUENT 48 HOURS.

\U2666 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 52OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 30ON.

\U2666 ANOTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA
FROM 02ND MARCH, 2022.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT A FEW PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-
MUZAFFARABAD AND HIMACHAL PRADESH (.)


RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS; AT A FEW PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL AND AT ISOLATED
PLACES OVER ASSAM-MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZORAM-TRIPURA, SUB-
HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM, ODISHA, JHARKAND, BIHAR, EAST MADHYA
PRADESH, CHHATTIGARH, TAMILNADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL AND KERALA-MAHE
(.)


DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

27 FEBRUARY (DAY 1): \U2666 HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER NICOBAR ISLANDS.

\U2666 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED
 30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA AND TRIPURA AND WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER JHARKHAND, EAST MADHYA PRADESH, NORTH
CHHATTISGARH, GANGETIC WEST BENGAL, ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND KERALA-
MAHE.

\U2666 SQUALLY WEATHER (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY
LIKELY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.
FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

28 FEBRUARY (DAY 2):  HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY
OVER NICOBAR ISLANDS.

\U2666THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED
40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ASSAM &
 MEGHALAYA.

\U2666 SQUALLY WEATHER (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY
 LIKELY OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
 FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=

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