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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S:  Sri Lanka Coast During Subsequent 48 Hours. 
Message-ID: <20220228071652.408AE1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Mon, 28 Feb 2022 07:16:52 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 280700
IWB (MORNING) DATED 28-02-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

* THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & ADJOINING
EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS AND UNDER ITS
INFLUENCE, A LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTHEAST BAY
OF BENGAL DURING NEXT 24 HOURS. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE FURTHER TOWARDS
 SRI LANKA COAST DURING SUBSEQUENT 48 HOURS.

* THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC
WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS
ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 60OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT. 30ON.

*A TROUGH IN WESTERLIES AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL RUNS ROUGHLY
ALONG LONG. 89OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.22ON.

*ANOTHER WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM
02ND MARCH, 2022.

*THE TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS
AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG. 84OE TO THE NORTH
 OF LAT.28ON HAS MOVED AWAY EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT A FEW PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH AND AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MU
ZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH AND UTTARAKHAND(.)


RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MOST PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER GANGETIC WEST BENGAL-SIKKIM,
ASSAM-MEGHALAYA, NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZORAM-TRIPURA, ODISHA, BIHAR,
CHHATTIGARH AND KERALA-MAHE (.) DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY
(.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

28 FEBRUARY (DAY 1):*HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY
 OVER NICOBAR ISLANDS.

*THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY WINDS (SPEED 40-50
KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR ISLANDS
AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH,
NORTHEAST ASSAM AND NAGALAND.

* SQUALLY WEATHER (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY
OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.
FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

01 MARCH (DAY 2): * THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY
WINDS (SPEED 40-50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER ANDAMAN
& NICOBAR ISLANDS.

* SQUALLY WEATHER (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY
OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA.
FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=

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