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Subject: Pacific SE: Tropical Disturbance Summary
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189 
WWPS21 NFFN 280900
Tropical Disturbance Summary For area Equator to 25S, 160E to 120W
ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Feb 280927 UTC.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTRE TD09F [999HPA] WAS ANALYSED NEAR 21.1S
166.7E AT 280900UTC. TD09F MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 KNOTS. POSITION
POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI IR/EIR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS. 

CONVECTION LIES OVER SUPPOSED LLCC WITH PRIMARY BANDS TRYING TO WRAP
FROM THE NORTHEAST ONTO SUPPOSED LLCC. ORGANISATION REMAINS POOR.
SYSTEM LIES OVER A REGION OF LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER
DIVERGENCE. SST IS AROUND 29 DEGREES CELSIUS.   

GLOBAL MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THE SYSTEM AND MOVE IT SOUTHEAST WITH
SLIGHT INTENSIFICATION IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS.

THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS SYSTEM TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MODERATE.

*********************************************************************
***************
 
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ANALYSED OR FORECAST IN THE
AREA.

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