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Subject: FIJI: Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A3 Issued From Rsmc Nadi 
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WTPS11 NFFN 011200
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A3 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
MAR 011400 UTC.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09F CENTRE 998HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6S 168.6E
AT 011200 UTC.  POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-EIR AND PERIPHERAL
SURFACE REPORTS. TD09F MOVING  SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS.  MAXIMUM
10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 25 KNOTS. 
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS DEVELOPING IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITHIN 150
NAUTICAL MILES IN THE NE QUADRANT
            AND WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES WITHIN SE QUADRANT
            AND WITHIN 080 NAUTICAL MILES WITHIN SW QUADRANT
            AND WITHIN 090 NAUTICAL MILES WITHIN NW QUADRANT
CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER LLCC WITH WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. TD09F
LIES IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE. GLOBAL
MODELS HAVE INTENSIFIED THE SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AND
MOVE IT EAST-SOUTHEAST. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON 0.3 WRAP ON LOG 10
SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 2.0. MET AND PT AGREE. THUS, FT BASED ON DT
YIELDING T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS.
FORECASTS :
AT 12 HRS VALID AT 020000 UTC 24.5S 171.2E MOV ESE AT 10 KT WITH 30
KT CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 24 HRS VALID AT 021200 UTC 25.0S 173.5E MOV E AT 10 KT WITH 35 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE
OUTLOOK :
AT 36 HRS VALID AT 030000 UTC 25.2S 175.3E MOV E AT 08 KT WITH 35 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 48 HRS VALID AT 031200 UTC 25.2S 176.7E MOV E AT 06 KT WITH 35 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE
THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09F
WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 012000 UTC.


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