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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id l16-20020a026a10000000b003102e99ae66si8074723jac.99.2022.03.01.06.19.21 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Tue, 01 Mar 2022 06:19:21 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166255.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 221E72mq020366 for ; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 14:19:20 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3eh3bgree4-5 for ; Tue, 01 Mar 2022 14:19:20 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 40ED9E3803; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 08:19:20 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id CE3E4E24BE for ; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 08:19:10 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166259.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 221EIhJ8026412 for ; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 14:19:10 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3eh307rhwj-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Tue, 01 Mar 2022 14:19:10 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 221E3bMn032554-221E3bMq032554 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 08:03:37 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.15; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 08:03:37 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.15 via Frontend Transport; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 08:03:37 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id C541D1C0EEF; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 14:03:36 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: FIJI: Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A3 Issued From Rsmc Nadi Message-ID: <20220301140336.C541D1C0EEF@weather.cod.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Mar 2022 14:03:36 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_spam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=92 mlxscore=92 priorityscore=143 adultscore=1 phishscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxlogscore=-107 malwarescore=0 spamscore=92 bulkscore=0 suspectscore=0 clxscore=328 impostorscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2203010079 X-Spam-Score: 92 X-Spam-Flag: YES X-Spam-Bar: ********** X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Sympa-Topic: Fiji Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 282751 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1646144352-112669-8030" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: c1MZLWUgZa6x12G0AD5F1lHirDmbIyHX X-Proofpoint-GUID: c1MZLWUgZa6x12G0AD5F1lHirDmbIyHX X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 phishscore=0 spamscore=0 priorityscore=1501 mlxscore=0 impostorscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 suspectscore=0 bulkscore=0 adultscore=0 malwarescore=0 clxscore=1034 mlxlogscore=282 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2203010079 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1646144352-112669-8030 Content-Type: text/plain WTPS11 NFFN 011200 CCA TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A3 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI Mar 011403 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09F CENTRE 998HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.6S 168.6E AT 011200 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-EIR AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. TD09F MOVING SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 25 KNOTS. EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS DEVELOPING IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE NE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES WITHIN SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 080 NAUTICAL MILES WITHIN SW QUADRANT AND WITHIN 090 NAUTICAL MILES WITHIN NW QUADRANT CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER LLCC WITH WITH GOOD OUTFLOW. TD09F LIES IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD UPPER DIVERGENCE. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE INTENSIFIED THE SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS AND MOVE IT EAST-SOUTHEAST. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON 0.3 WRAP ON LOG 10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 2.0. MET AND PT AGREE. THUS, FT BASED ON DT YIELDING T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24HRS. FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 020000 UTC 24.5S 171.2E MOV ESE AT 10 KT WITH 30 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 021200 UTC 25.0S 173.5E MOV E AT 10 KT WITH 35 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK : AT 36 HRS VALID AT 030000 UTC 25.2S 175.3E MOV E AT 08 KT WITH 35 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 031200 UTC 25.2S 176.7E MOV E AT 06 KT WITH 35 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09F WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 012000 UTC. ------------=_1646144352-112669-8030 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1646144352-112669-8030--