Return-Path: Delivered-To: typhoon.messages.ust@gmail.com Received: by 2002:a05:6520:2a94:b0:1a1:ea8d:a46 with SMTP id m20csp2135070lkc; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 09:37:11 -0800 (PST) X-Google-Smtp-Source: ABdhPJw7V0RBkWjh7rvgMnzsoqYfMg4MGjW6tPu6vn46eZ2Lu41V9pgVrDELp/850jKv8aEH20Sm X-Received: by 2002:aca:5b45:0:b0:2bc:8362:b053 with SMTP id p66-20020aca5b45000000b002bc8362b053mr16201756oib.36.1646156230875; Tue, 01 Mar 2022 09:37:10 -0800 (PST) ARC-Seal: i=1; a=rsa-sha256; t=1646156230; cv=none; d=google.com; s=arc-20160816; b=FcOYrcKqb/o63CtW+nMYnxkVG+QYn7Jm+TIOMMyGCOrv6GKzYUUG2ljwUHaPquekxp ZaqbYsrTY4zKO3eRVq4AS2fouE4r3BLchpl7LeCqtqaSqTMFNLwotxrkncRkDG75jnNv zxeg3YCopGCKVv+BYQWQlAySEBI7Gm0+XJIb78NtILHLfyVCESZa0JkKp7LDe1SX5IEk VLpeKaD1MRqlepXsxbNBFB2rSUN2/enERpmaQ9Y+KyiGFRZUpRJsaWOUulGjnFFKbW2i tHoKRx2J+61CWZ+cu1hEts/4EIF+aA/F3CX6y6sgSqAT88QBbmNPvmLvljsyFSRGbWo8 8mbw== ARC-Message-Signature: i=1; a=rsa-sha256; c=relaxed/relaxed; d=google.com; s=arc-20160816; h=list-unsubscribe:list-subscribe:list-post:list-owner:list-help :list-id:precedence:precedence:errors-to:reply-to:mime-version:date :message-id:subject:to:from:delivered-to; bh=HN7Amc3mDjSqPCGEIMw80+gQSu65p/yM7kodpASRS74=; b=gFtFLU30AOmz/Dhaf4bVoKOebIH5iH7LKOq2ZjGleMEpxWkTSefEFhlj6wwcDQvRLK 6l/Qepj1JW2YHhBHGAVwvNbiKZtTMXkUViS68jSFFk4/UN3SD16tX5OKubQebKcprAQ6 yWubrgo2/vVzZzmjfF73nNTUwo1P10XX4ndfJCFP0NyHTADUPeG+ffaY5NqM56kVoKg1 WBwBPdQwEutY3khTyBvDyMDfUYqQgjsYKiZhqnjKG7D/NgNMRSDuTr8OhHYl1dzItxIB LlCrFPHrQLOIVd5KzHhljs28tWYyott7kjxYzADDqvMK+q0s6HIW9EiZxf0DFKwgNQ3L fy5Q== ARC-Authentication-Results: i=1; mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com. [148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id q17-20020a056830441100b005afec4673easi6117230otv.244.2022.03.01.09.37.10 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Tue, 01 Mar 2022 09:37:10 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0272704.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 221HOLi2021611 for ; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 17:37:09 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3eh6cmgntk-5 for ; Tue, 01 Mar 2022 17:37:09 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id EA3E7E3A78; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 11:37:08 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 6197EE2945 for ; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 11:36:59 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166259.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 221HRDHO020735 for ; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 17:36:58 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3eh307tq6v-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Tue, 01 Mar 2022 17:36:58 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 221HawQl009040-221HawQn009040 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 11:36:58 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.15; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 11:36:57 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.15 via Frontend Transport; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 11:36:57 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id A742A1C0EEE; Tue, 1 Mar 2022 17:36:57 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (invest 95s)// Message-ID: <20220301173657.A742A1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Tue, 1 Mar 2022 17:36:57 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 mlxscore=0 priorityscore=191 adultscore=0 phishscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxlogscore=388 malwarescore=0 spamscore=0 bulkscore=0 suspectscore=0 clxscore=338 impostorscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2203010091 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-S Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 282761 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1646156223-112669-8063" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: ryQS8-kRkkklq0pBrfmwbwxB0ebT6zOz X-Proofpoint-GUID: ryQS8-kRkkklq0pBrfmwbwxB0ebT6zOz X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 malwarescore=0 suspectscore=0 mlxscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 priorityscore=1501 adultscore=0 bulkscore=0 phishscore=0 spamscore=0 impostorscore=0 clxscore=1034 mlxlogscore=787 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2203010091 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1646156223-112669-8063 Content-Type: text/plain WTXS22 PGTW 011800 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 95S)// REF/A/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/010251Z MAR 22// AMPN/REF IS TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTXS21 PGTW 010300)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 120 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11.2S 110.6E TO 11.3S 113.5E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 011200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 11.2S 110.7E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD AT 02 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 10.5S 111.5E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 11.2S 110.7E, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM EAST OF CHRISTMAS ISLAND. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION OVERHEAD A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION. A 011430Z PARTIAL ASCAT C PASS REVEALS 30 KNOT WINDS NEAR THE CENTER OF THE LLC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES MARGINAL CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST OUTFLOW ALOFT AND WARM (29-30C); OFFSET BY HIGH (30-35KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE THAT INVEST 95S WILL HAVE LITTLE DEVELOPMENT AS IT TRACKS SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 021800Z. 4. SEE REF A FOR DETAILS ON A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT LOCATED NEAR 17.6S 123.3E // NNNN ------------=_1646156223-112669-8063 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1646156223-112669-8063--