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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id g3-20020a05660203c300b006418804191esi13499428iov.46.2022.03.01.22.05.12 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Tue, 01 Mar 2022 22:05:13 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166255.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 2225jftn026533 for ; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 06:05:12 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3eh3bh09dt-11 for ; Wed, 02 Mar 2022 06:05:12 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 0D579E418A; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 00:05:12 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 5AE57E4174 for ; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 00:05:00 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166257.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 22207Lb2030704 for ; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 06:04:59 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3ehwrw22gq-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Wed, 02 Mar 2022 06:04:59 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 22264wkg028373-22264wki028373 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 00:04:58 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.15; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 00:04:58 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.15 via Frontend Transport; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 00:04:58 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id F388E1C0EEF; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 06:04:57 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And Message-ID: <20220302060457.F388E1C0EEF@weather.cod.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Mar 2022 06:04:57 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 mlxlogscore=693 bulkscore=0 spamscore=0 priorityscore=188 impostorscore=0 phishscore=0 clxscore=317 mlxscore=0 malwarescore=0 adultscore=0 suspectscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2203020026 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Pacific-SW Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 282836 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1646201105-112669-8209" X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: XifF4UakYqgyLiY_h1QGDJpCGxFpSgql X-Proofpoint-GUID: XifF4UakYqgyLiY_h1QGDJpCGxFpSgql X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 phishscore=0 spamscore=0 priorityscore=1501 mlxscore=0 impostorscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 suspectscore=0 bulkscore=0 adultscore=0 malwarescore=0 clxscore=1034 mlxlogscore=999 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2203020026 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1646201105-112669-8209 Content-Type: text/plain TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC ABPW10 PGTW 020600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/020600ZMAR2022-030600ZMAR2022// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 24.4S 169.2E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 24.9S 170.0E, APPROXIMATELY 249NM SOUTHEAST OF NOUMEA, NEW CALEDONIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 020200Z AMSR2 89GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT A PARTIALLY EXPOSED AND WELL DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH MOST OF THE FORMATIVE CONVECTION AND BANDING DISPLACED TO THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION INCLUDING ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10-15KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28- 29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST-SOUTHEAST, HOWEVER THERE IS A MODERATE CHANCE IN A SHORT 24 HOUR WINDOW FOR 94P TO REACH TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH. BY TAU 36 94P IS EXPECTED TO STALL, STRETCH OUT AND BE OVERRUN BY DRY AIR ULTIMATELY TRANSITIONING INTO A SUBTROPICAL LOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 995 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. NNNN ------------=_1646201105-112669-8209 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1646201105-112669-8209--