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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id t13-20020a056871054d00b000c44fd4bf3asi8642365oal.273.2022.03.02.06.31.46 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Wed, 02 Mar 2022 06:31:47 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0166256.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 222E4una002188 for ; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 14:31:46 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3eh2pwb2fb-5 for ; Wed, 02 Mar 2022 14:31:46 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id D3638E3A91; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 08:31:45 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.139.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id C4AB5E2BAB for ; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 08:31:34 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0166258.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 222DMiI1022512 for ; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 14:31:34 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3eh5hms7k4-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Wed, 02 Mar 2022 14:31:34 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 222EVXOL013721-222EVXON013721 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 08:31:33 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.15; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 08:31:33 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.15 via Frontend Transport; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 08:31:33 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 35F101C0EEE; Wed, 2 Mar 2022 14:31:33 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: FIJI: Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A7 Issued From Rsmc Nadi Message-ID: <20220302143133.35F101C0EEE@weather.cod.edu> Date: Wed, 2 Mar 2022 14:31:33 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_probablespam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=76 clxscore=335 spamscore=76 priorityscore=145 bulkscore=0 adultscore=3 malwarescore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxscore=76 impostorscore=0 mlxlogscore=-48 phishscore=0 suspectscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2203020063 X-Spam-Score: 76 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: ******** X-Sympa-Topic: Fiji Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 282902 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1646231499-112669-8353" X-Proofpoint-GUID: dsngdjwZl6Z6lZLq_Vp175p_8BW9Q1hE X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: dsngdjwZl6Z6lZLq_Vp175p_8BW9Q1hE X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 clxscore=1034 priorityscore=1501 malwarescore=0 adultscore=0 suspectscore=0 mlxlogscore=305 mlxscore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 impostorscore=0 spamscore=0 phishscore=0 bulkscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2201110000 definitions=main-2203020063 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1646231499-112669-8353 Content-Type: text/plain WTPS11 NFFN 021200 TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A7 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI MAR 021431 UTC. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09F CENTRE 998HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3S 172.3E AT 021200 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-EIR IMAGERY AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. TD09F MOVING EAST AT ABOUT 15 KNOTS. MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 30 KNOTS. EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS DEVELOPING IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES IN THE NE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 180 NAUTICAL MILES WITHIN SE QUADRANT AND WITHIN 150 NAUTICAL MILES WITHIN SW QUADRANT AND WITHIN 120 NAUTICAL MILES WITHIN NW QUADRANT. CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT TO THE SOUTH OF LLCC WITH PRIMARY BANDS TRYING TO WRAP ITSELF ONTO LLCC FROM THE SOUTH. TD09F LIES IN A LOW TO MODERATE SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW AND STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE TO THE EAST. GLOBAL MODELS HAVE INTENSIFIED THE SYSTEM IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND MOVE IT EASTWARDS. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON 0.40 WRAP ON LOG 10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 2.5. MET AND PT AGREE. THUS, FT BASED ON PT YIELDING T2.5/2.5/S0.0/24HRS FORECASTS : AT 12 HRS VALID AT 021800 UTC 25.4S 173.9E MOV NE AT 05 KT WITH 30 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 24 HRS VALID AT 030600 UTC 25.2S 174.4E MOV NNE AT 03 KT WITH 35 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE OUTLOOK : AT 36 HRS VALID AT 040000 UTC 24.8S 174.3E MOV WNW AT 03 KT WITH 35 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE AT 48 HRS VALID AT 041200 UTC 24.7S 173.8E MOV WNW AT 04 KT WITH 35 KT CLOSE TO CENTRE THE NEXT TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09F WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 022000UTC. ------------=_1646231499-112669-8353 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1646231499-112669-8353--