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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Towards Sri Lanka Coast During Next 24 Hours And Towards Tamil Nadu 
Message-ID: <20220302143545.910411C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Wed, 2 Mar 2022 14:35:45 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 021200
IWB (EVENING) DATED 02-03-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

THE WELL-MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF
BENGAL AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND THE ASSOCIATED
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS. IT IS LIKELY TO CONCENTRATE INTO A DEPRESSION BY TOMORROW
THE 03RD, MARCH,  2022. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS
TOWARDS SRI LANKA COAST DURING NEXT 24 HOURS AND TOWARDS TAMIL NADU
COAST DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS.

THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES
WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL  NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG
LONG.65OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.26ON.

THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN & ADJOINING
PAKISTAN EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM
05TH MARCH, 2022.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH
-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD AND HIMACHAL PRADESH; AT A FEW PLACES
OVER UTTARAKHAND.

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS AND TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
ARUNACHAL PRADESH, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & S SIKKIM, WEST UTTAR
PRADESH, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, PUNJAB, RAJASTHAN, MADHYA
PRADESH, COSTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA, NGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, AND KERALA & MAHE (.)
DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

01 MARCH (DAY 1): \U2666 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING,
HAIL & GUSTY WINDS(30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER
NORTHWEST RAJASTHAN; WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
PUNJAB AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN &
NICOBARISLANDS, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD,
HARYANA, NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN AND TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

STRONG WINDS (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER
SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL, ALONG & OFF TAMIL
NADU-SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS, GULF OF MANNAR AND COMORIN
AREA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

02 MARCH (DAY 2): \U2666 HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED
PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD,
HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HARYANA AND TAMIL
NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

STRONG WINDS (SPEED 45-55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER
SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, ALONG & OFF TAMIL
NADU-SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS AND GULF OF MANNAR.
FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=

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