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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: March,  2022. It Is Very Likely To Move West-northwestwards Towards 
Message-ID: <20220302154619.46CD41C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Wed, 2 Mar 2022 15:46:19 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 021200
IWB (EVENING) DATED 02-03-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

THE WELL-MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER CENTRAL PARTS OF SOUTH BAY OF
BENGAL AND ADJOINING EQUATORIAL INDIAN OCEAN AND THE ASSOCIATED
CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDING UPTO 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL
PERSISTS.
IT IS LIKELY TO CONCENTRATE INTO A DEPRESSION BY TOMORROW THE 03RD,
MARCH,  2022. IT IS VERY LIKELY TO MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS
SRI LANKA COAST DURING NEXT 24 HOURS AND TOWARDS TAMIL NADU COAST
DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS.

THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES
WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL  NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG
LONG.65OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.26ON.

THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN & ADJOINING
PAKISTAN EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM
05TH MARCH, 2022.

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-
BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD AND HIMACHAL PRADESH; AT A FEW PLACES OVER
UTTARAKHAND.

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MANY PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBAR
ISLANDS AND TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL; AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER
ARUNACHAL PRADESH, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & S SIKKIM, WEST UTTAR
PRADESH, HARYANA, CHANDIGARH & DELHI, PUNJAB, RAJASTHAN, MADHYA
PRADESH, COSTAL ANDHRA PRADESH & YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, ASSAM &
MEGHALAYA, NGALAND, MANIPUR, MIZORAM & TRIPURA, AND KERALA & MAHE (.)
DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

02 MARCH (DAY 1): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING, HAIL &
GUSTY WINDS(30-40 KMPH) AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER NORTHWEST
RAJASTHAN; WITH LIGHTNING & HAIL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER PUNJAB AND
WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN & NICOBARISLANDS,
JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, HARYANA,
NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN AND TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

STRONG WINDS (SPEED 40-50 KMPH GUSTING TO 60 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER
SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL, ALONG & OFF TAMIL NADU
-SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS, GULF OF MANNAR AND COMORIN
AREA. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

03 MARCH (DAY 2): HEAVY TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES
VERY LIKELY OVER TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD,
HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HARYANA AND TAMIL NADU-
PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

STRONG WINDS (SPEED 45-55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH) VERY LIKELY OVER
SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, ALONG & OFF
TAMIL NADU-SOUTH COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS AND GULF OF MANNAR.
FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.=

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