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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Subj/tropical Cyclone 17s (seventeen) Warning Nr 003// 
Message-ID: <20220302193324.5A17C1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Wed, 2 Mar 2022 19:33:24 +0000
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WTXS33 PGTW 022100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (SEVENTEEN) WARNING NR 003//
RMKS/
1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 17S (SEVENTEEN) WARNING NR 003
   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    ---
   WARNING POSITION:
   021800Z --- NEAR 10.0S 111.8E
     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 065 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM
     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
   REPEAT POSIT: 10.0S 111.8E
    ---
   FORECASTS:
   12 HRS, VALID AT:
   030600Z --- 10.3S 112.8E
   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
    ---
REMARKS:
022100Z POSITION NEAR 10.1S 112.1E.
02MAR22. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 17S (SEVENTEEN), LOCATED
APPROXIMATELY
375 NM SOUTHEAST OF JAKARTA, INDONESIA, HAS TRACKED EAST-
NORTHEASTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED
INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE CENTRAL CONVECTION HAS
BECOME MORE SHALLOW AND DISORGANIZED AS IT SHEARED FURTHER WESTWARD,
NOW 75 NM, FROM A WEAK AND FULLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
(LLC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON
THE EXPOSED LLC. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KTS IS BASED ON THE
PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE OF T2.5/25KTS AND CONSISTENT WITH THE 6-HR EIR
WEAKENING TREND. ANALYSIS INDICATES AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH
STRONG (25KT+) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR OFFSETTING THE WARM SST AND
MODERATE WESTWARD UPPER LEVEL OUTFLOW. TC 17S WILL DRIFT
SOUTHEASTWARD AND CONTINUE TO UNRAVEL AND DISSOLVE. THIS IS THE
FINAL
WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI.
THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 021800Z IS 10 FEET. REFER TO
TROPICAL CYCLONE 14S (VERNON) WARNINGS (WTXS31 PGTW) FOR SIX-HOURLY
UPDATES.//
NNNN


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