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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: FIJI: Tropical Disturbance Advisory Number A10 Issued From Rsmc Nadi 
Message-ID: <20220303072848.4192C1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Thu, 3 Mar 2022 07:28:48 +0000
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WTPS11 NFFN 030600
TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY NUMBER A10 ISSUED FROM RSMC NADI
Mar 030728 UTC.

TROPICAL CYCLONE EVA [EE-VAH] CENTRE 995HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.8S
174.9E AT 030600 UTC.  POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI-EIR IMAGERY
AND PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. TC MOVING EAST AT ABOUT 10 KNOTS. 
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 35
KNOTS.

EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES IN NE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 200 NAUTICAL MILES IN SE QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 200 NAUTICAL MILES IN SW QUADRANT
                       AND WITHIN 90 NAUTICAL MILES IN NW QUADRANT

CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT TO THE EAST OF LLCC WITH PRIMARY BANDS
CONTINUING TO WRAP ONTO LLCC. TC EVA LIES IN A LOW TO MODERATE
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT WITH GOOD OUTFLOW AND STRONG UPPER DIVERGENCE TO
THE EAST. TC EVA IS BEING STEERED EASTWARD BY THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY
OF A NEAR EQUITORIAL RIDGE TO THE NORTH. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON
0.60 WRAP ON LOG 10 SPIRAL YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET AND PT AGREE.
THUS, FT BASED ON DT YIELDING T3.0/3.0/D1.0/24HRS

FORECASTS :
AT 12 HRS VALID AT 031800 UTC 25.5S 174.8E MOV NNW AT 02 KT WITH 40
KT CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 24 HRS VALID AT 040600 UTC 25.2S 174.0E MOV NW AT 03 KT WITH 40 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE

OUTLOOK :
AT 36 HRS VALID AT 041800 UTC 25.4S 172.9E MOV WNW AT 03 KT WITH 40
KT CLOSE TO CENTRE
AT 48 HRS VALID AT 050600 UTC 26.0S 171.3E MOV W AT 04 KT WITH 45 KT
CLOSE TO CENTRE

THIS WILL BE THE LAST TROPICAL DISTURBANCE ADVISORY ON TROPICAL EVA.


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