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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion 
Message-ID: <20220304024924.622211C0EF0@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Fri, 4 Mar 2022 02:49:24 +0000
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AXPZ20 KNHC 040249
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Fri Mar 4 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from the border of Panama and Colombia 
near 08N77W to 05N90W to 03N105W, where it transitions to the 
ITCZ and continues to 05N125W to 06N135W and to beyond 07N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is seen within 60 nm north of the 
trough between 95W-99W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...Corrected

Fresh N winds continue in the Gulf of Tehuantepec, with seas of 
4 to 6 ft. Gentle winds dominate elsewhere, except in the 
northern Gulf of California, where fresh to locally strong S 
winds are occurring, blowing toward low pressure in the SW U.S. 
Increasing swell off Baja California is leading to seas of 5 to 7
ft, with generally seas elsewhere ranging from 3 to 5 ft.

Fresh north winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will
increase some late tonight, then continue through Fri night. 
Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds will prevail. Fresh to strong 
northwest to north winds will develop west of Baja California by 
Fri night and persist through the weekend behind a dissipating 
cold front. Northwest swell will attend the front, with seas 
building to 10 to 14 ft west of Baja California by late Fri. Seas
of 8 to 10 ft will build southward, off Baja California Sur on 
Sat. Fresh to strong southwest winds are expected in the northern
Gulf of California ahead of the front tonight through Fri night,
then diminish to fresh speeds Sat. 


OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds are across the Papagayo
region, with seas to 7 ft. Moderate N winds are in the Gulf of
Panama, with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Mainly light to gentle winds are
noted elsewhere, along with wave heights of 3-5 ft due to a 
south to southwest swell, with the exception of wave heights of 
up to 6 ft offshore of Ecuador.

For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast winds will continue 
to pulse each night across the Papagayo region through Sat, then 
diminish to moderate to fresh speeds thereafter. Winds in the 
Gulf of Panama will pulse moderate to fresh, mainly at night into
Sat. Gentle winds will prevail elsewhere. Seas will build 
slightly offshore of Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands through the
end of the week due to a southwest swell. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

A cold front stretches from 31N121W to 23N140W. Fresh to strong
mainly N winds are occurring behind the front, with seas of 8 to
11 ft.  Wave heights of 5-7 ft are elsewhere over the area. 
Broad high pressure is located east of the front to near the 
Revillagigedo Islands. Gentle to moderate winds dominate the open
waters ahead of the front.

For the forecast, the cold front will move E of the area Fri, 
then gradually dissipate into the weekend, allowing winds behind
it to relax to moderate to fresh. Increasing NW swell will cause
seas to increase to 9 to 13 ft N of 26N through the weekend. A 
warm front just W of the area will lead to fresh to strong mainly
E winds Fri into the weekend for areas N of 22N and W of 137W. 
Seas in this region will average 8 to 11 ft.

$$
KONARIK


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