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WTIN20 DEMS 260600


   TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK

DEMS-RSMC SPECIAL TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 26.02.2022



TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF BENGAL
 AND ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR NEXT 120 HOURS ISSUED AT 0600 UTC OF
26.02.2022 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 26.02.2022.





BAY OF BENGAL:



A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA &
 NEIGHBOURHOOD AROUND 27TH FEBRUARY 2022. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE, A
LOW PRESSURE AREA IS LIKELY TO FORM OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL
 & ADJOINING SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA DURING SUBSEQUENT 24 HOURS.



SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE
CONVECTION LAY OVER SOUTH ANDAMAN SEA AND ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE
CONVECTION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF BENGAL.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
120 HRS:



24 HOURS   24-48 HOURS   48-72 HOURS   72-96 HOURS  96-120 HOURS



NIL              NIL        NIL           NIL           NIL






ARABIAN SEA:



NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUDS OVER THE REGION.



PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT
 120 HRS:


24 HOURS   24-48 HOURS   48-72 HOURS   72-96 HOURS  96-120 HOURS



NIL              NIL        NIL           NIL           NIL




REMARKS: NIL=

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