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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S:   The Depression Over Southwest Bay Of Bengal Moved 
Message-ID: <20220304072622.6FD961C0EEF@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Fri, 4 Mar 2022 07:26:22 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 040720


IWB (MORNING) DATED 04-03-2022


METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

  THE DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS WITH A SPEED OF ABOUT 15 KMPH DURING LAST 06
HOURS AND LAY CENTERED AT 0830 HRS IST OF TODAY, THE 4TH MARCH 2022,
OVER THE SAME REGION NEAR LATITUDE 8.9ON AND LONGITUDE 82.9OE, ABOUT
180 KM EAST OF TRINCOMALEE (SRI LANKA), 390KM SOUTHEAST OF
NAGAPPATTINAM (TAMIL NADU), 470 KM SOUTHEAST OF PUDUCHERRY (TAMIL
NADU) AND ABOUT 530 KM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI (TAMIL NADU). IT IS
LIKELY TO INTENSIFY FURTHER INTO A DEEP DEPRESSION DURING NEXT 12
HOURS. IT IS LIKELY TO MOVE NORTH-NORTHWESTWARDS OFF EAST COAST OF
SRI LANKA TILL 05TH MARCH MORNING AND THEN MOVE WEST-NORTHWESTWARDS
TOWARDS NORTH TAMIL NADU COAST DURING SUBSEQUENT 48 HOURS.

 THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTH
PAKISTAN & NEIGHBORHOOD, NOW LIES OVER JAMMU & NEIGHBORHOOD BETWEEN
3.1 KM & 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH A TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE &
UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.75OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.28ON.

 THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER WEST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD
EXTENDING UPTO 2.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL, NOW LIES OVER NORTHEAST
RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL.

 A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER NORTH BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT
1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

 TWO FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCES LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA, THE
1ST FROM THE NIGHT 05TH AND 2ND FROM THE NIGHT OF 08TH MARCH, 2022.


RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT A FEW PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH
-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH AND UTTARAKHAND.

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT A FEW PLACES OVER TAMIL
NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER EAST MADHYA
PRADESH, VIDARBHA, SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM, ANDAMAN &
NICOBAR ISLANDS, ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA,
NAGALAND-MANIPUR-MIZORAM-TRIPURA, COSTAL ANDHRA PRADESH-YANAM,
RAYALASEEMA AND KERALA & MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

04 MARCH (DAY 1): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED
PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER UTTARAKHAND, CENTRAL & WEST ASSAM-MEGHALAYA
AND NAGALAND-MANIPUR.

 SQUALLY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 45-55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH) VERY
LIKELY OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, GULF OF
MANNAR AND ALONG & OFF NORTH TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & SOUTH ANDHRA
PRADESH COASTS. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE
AREAS.


05 MARCH (DAY 2):  HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER
COASTAL TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD  AND
TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

 SQUALLY WINDS SPEED REACHING 45-55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH VERY
LIKELY OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, GULF OF
MANNAR AND ALONG & OFF NORTH TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & SOUTH ANDHRA
PRADESH COASTS. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE
AREAS.=

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