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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id y1-20020a9d5181000000b005a92abf3906si2900208otg.32.2022.03.04.01.50.16 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Fri, 04 Mar 2022 01:50:16 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0272704.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 2249ikU7027728 for ; Fri, 4 Mar 2022 09:50:16 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3ek4jy4k3j-5 for ; Fri, 04 Mar 2022 09:50:15 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id B0437E4908; Fri, 4 Mar 2022 03:50:15 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id E1E8EE3571 for ; Fri, 4 Mar 2022 03:50:02 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0272704.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 2247siMG003319 for ; Fri, 4 Mar 2022 09:50:02 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3ek4jy4k2q-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Fri, 04 Mar 2022 09:50:01 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 2249o1ra023104-2249o1rc023104 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Fri, 4 Mar 2022 03:50:01 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.15; Fri, 4 Mar 2022 03:50:00 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.15 via Frontend Transport; Fri, 4 Mar 2022 03:50:00 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 8BE2B1C0EEF; Fri, 4 Mar 2022 09:50:00 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Indian-N: Subj/tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (invest 90b)// Message-ID: <20220304095000.8BE2B1C0EEF@weather.cod.edu> Date: Fri, 4 Mar 2022 09:50:00 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=7 clxscore=340 impostorscore=0 phishscore=0 malwarescore=0 mlxlogscore=109 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxscore=7 bulkscore=0 spamscore=7 suspectscore=0 priorityscore=288 adultscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2202240000 definitions=main-2203040052 X-Spam-Score: 7 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: * X-Sympa-Topic: Indian-N Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 283135 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1646387408-112669-8945" X-Proofpoint-GUID: jp5ki2wVAnkQ-D2d0vTvnK8_c7A5AAQK X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: jp5ki2wVAnkQ-D2d0vTvnK8_c7A5AAQK X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 clxscore=1034 impostorscore=0 phishscore=0 malwarescore=0 mlxlogscore=508 lowpriorityscore=0 mlxscore=0 bulkscore=0 spamscore=0 suspectscore=0 priorityscore=1501 adultscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2202240000 definitions=main-2203040052 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1646387408-112669-8945 Content-Type: text/plain WTIO21 PGTW 040930 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 90B)// RMKS/ 1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 110 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 9.2N 83.2E TO 10.0N 81.8E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME. WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 25 TO 30 KNOTS. METSAT IMAGERY AT 040900Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 83.1E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 06 KNOTS. 2. REMARKS: THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90B) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 4.8N 87.6E IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.4N 83.1E, APPROXIMATELY 278 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 040051Z SSMIS 91GHZ MICROWAVE IMAGE DEPICT FORMATIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO A WELL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THERE ARE DEEP POCKETS OF CONVECTION DIRECTLY TO THE IMMEDIATE NORTHERN AND SOUTHERN PERIPHERIES OF THE LLCC. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVLEOPMENT TO INCLUDE ROBUST POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW (10- 15KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (28-29C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. GLOBAL DETERMINISTIC AND ENSEMBLE MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE AND INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS WESTWARD TOWARD THE EASTERN COAST OF INDIA OVER THE NEXT 24-48HRS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 25 TO 30 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1000 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH. 3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY 050930Z. // NNNN ------------=_1646387408-112669-8945 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1646387408-112669-8945--