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[148.163.135.28]) by mx.google.com with ESMTPS id er27-20020a056870c89b00b000d4234436d8si4821097oab.197.2022.03.04.22.11.27 for (version=TLS1_2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES128-GCM-SHA256 bits=128/128); Fri, 04 Mar 2022 22:11:27 -0800 (PST) Received-SPF: pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) client-ip=148.163.135.28; Authentication-Results: mx.google.com; spf=pass (google.com: domain of wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu designates 148.163.135.28 as permitted sender) smtp.mailfrom=wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Received: from pps.filterd (m0272704.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 22566WQp021636 for ; Sat, 5 Mar 2022 06:11:26 GMT Received: from lists.illinois.edu (lists.illinois.edu [192.17.172.63]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTP id 3ekyh20fxf-5 for ; Sat, 05 Mar 2022 06:11:26 +0000 Received: by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix, from userid 50033) id 214E1E1A8C; Sat, 5 Mar 2022 00:11:26 -0600 (CST) Delivered-To: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu Received: from mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com (mx0a-00007101.pphosted.com [148.163.135.28]) by lists.illinois.edu (Postfix) with ESMTPS id 04C55E1A7E for ; Sat, 5 Mar 2022 00:11:12 -0600 (CST) Received: from pps.filterd (m0272704.ppops.net [127.0.0.1]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (8.16.1.2/8.16.1.2) with ESMTP id 2255nS1w006626 for ; Sat, 5 Mar 2022 06:11:12 GMT Received: from fortimail.cod.edu (fortimail.cod.edu [192.203.136.203]) by mx0b-00007101.pphosted.com (PPS) with ESMTPS id 3ekyh20fww-1 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=NOT) for ; Sat, 05 Mar 2022 06:11:11 +0000 Received: from mail.cod.edu ([10.11.1.123]) by fortimail.cod.edu with ESMTP id 2256BAqq014151-2256BAqt014151 (version=TLSv1.2 cipher=ECDHE-RSA-AES256-GCM-SHA384 bits=256 verify=OK) for ; Sat, 5 Mar 2022 00:11:11 -0600 Received: from MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) by MAIL19.cdnet-ad.ad.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server (version=TLS1_2, cipher=TLS_ECDHE_RSA_WITH_AES_256_GCM_SHA384) id 15.2.986.15; Sat, 5 Mar 2022 00:11:10 -0600 Received: from weather.cod.edu (10.11.2.79) by MAIL.cod.edu (10.11.1.123) with Microsoft SMTP Server id 15.2.986.15 via Frontend Transport; Sat, 5 Mar 2022 00:11:10 -0600 Received: by weather.cod.edu (Postfix, from userid 1001) id 9898A1C0EF0; Sat, 5 Mar 2022 06:11:10 +0000 (UTC) From: COD Weather Processor To: Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And Message-ID: <20220305061110.9898A1C0EF0@weather.cod.edu> Date: Sat, 5 Mar 2022 06:11:10 +0000 MIME-Version: 1.0 X-FE-Policy-ID: 7:6:2:SYSTEM X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 impostorscore=0 adultscore=0 clxscore=321 mlxlogscore=541 mlxscore=0 bulkscore=0 priorityscore=255 phishscore=0 malwarescore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 suspectscore=0 spamscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2202240000 definitions=main-2203050027 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: ldm@weather.cod.edu X-Spam-Bar: X-Sympa-Topic: Pacific-NW Reply-To: COD Weather Processor X-Loop: wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu X-Sequence: 283212 Errors-to: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu Precedence: list Precedence: bulk X-no-archive: yes List-Id: List-Help: List-Owner: List-Post: List-Subscribe: List-Unsubscribe: Content-type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----------=_1646460675-112669-9155" X-Proofpoint-GUID: E8haH6swyl48wH7z5BuFBeoRX-IP28-g X-Proofpoint-ORIG-GUID: E8haH6swyl48wH7z5BuFBeoRX-IP28-g X-Spam-Details: rule=cautious_plus_nq_notspam policy=cautious_plus_nq score=0 impostorscore=0 adultscore=0 clxscore=1034 mlxlogscore=939 mlxscore=0 bulkscore=0 priorityscore=1501 phishscore=0 malwarescore=0 lowpriorityscore=0 suspectscore=0 spamscore=0 classifier=spam adjust=0 reason=mlx scancount=1 engine=8.12.0-2202240000 definitions=main-2203050027 X-Spam-Score: 0 X-Spam-OrigSender: wx-tropl-owner@lists.illinois.edu X-Spam-Bar: This is a multi-part message in MIME format... ------------=_1646460675-112669-9155 Content-Type: text/plain ABPW10 PGTW 050600 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND /SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/050600Z-060600ZMAR2022// RMKS/ 1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE. 2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST): A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE. B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 25.6S 172.5W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 25.6S 171.8W, APPROXIMATELY 325 NM SOUTHEAST OF TONGA (THE PREVIOUS BULLETIN CONTAINED AN ERROR IN POSITION, THE ERROR IS ADJUSTED HERE). ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 050419Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT FLARING CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE EASTERN PERIPERHY OF AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO INDICATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH GOOD POLEWARD OUTFLOW, LOW TO MODERATE(15-20KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND WARM (27-28C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES. WHILE GLOBAL MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT THAT INVEST 96P WILL CONSOLIDATE, CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD, AND GRADUALLY INTENSIFY OVER THE NEXT 48-72HRS, THEY ALSO INDICATE THAT THE SYSTEM WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY SUBTROPICAL IN NATURE. THERE REMAINS A BRIEF WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR THE SYSTEM TO REACH WARNING THRESHOLD AS A TROPICAL SYSTEM BEFORE BECOMING FULLY SUBTROPICAL. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1003 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW. (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS. C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.// NNNN ------------=_1646460675-112669-9155 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Disposition: inline Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7BIT = = = == = = To unsubscribe from WX-TROPL and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-TROPL. ------------=_1646460675-112669-9155--