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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: At 0830 Hrs Ist Of Today, The 5th March 2022, Over The Same Region 
Message-ID: <20220305082443.EC0741C0EEF@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sat, 5 Mar 2022 08:24:43 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 050300

IWB (MORNING) DATED 05-03-2022


METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:

 THE DEEP DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED NORTHWARDS
WITH A SPEED OF ABOUT 14 KMPH DURING LAST 06 HOURS AND LAY CENTERED
AT 0830 HRS IST OF TODAY, THE 5TH MARCH 2022, OVER THE SAME REGION
NEAR LATITUDE 11.4ON AND LONGITUDE 82.6OE, ABOUT 350 KM
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF TRINCOMALEE (SRI LANKA), 310 KM EAST-NORTHEAST
OF NAGAPPATTINAM (TAMIL NADU), 300 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PUDUCHERRY
(TAMIL NADU) AND ABOUT 300 KM SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI (TAMIL NADU). IT
IS LIKELY TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS TILL 05TH MARCH EVENING AND THEN
MOVE WEST-SOUTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS NORTH TAMIL NADU COAST DURING
SUBSEQUENT 36 HOURS.  THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC
CIRCULATION OVER JAMMU & NEIGHBORHOOD AT 3.1 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. THE TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.84OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.20ON.
 A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.54OE TO THE NORTH OF LAT.30ON. A
FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM THE
NIGHT OF 08TH MARCH, 2022. THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER
NORTHEAST RAJASTHAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE
MEAN SEA LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED. THE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION
OVER NORTH BANGLADESH & NEIGHBOURHOOD AT 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL HAS BECOME LESS MARKED.


RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-
BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD; AT A FEW PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH AND
ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND AND ARUNACHAL PRADESH.


RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT MANY PLACES OVER TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-
KARAIKAL, AT A FEW PLACES OVER ANDAMAN-NICOBAR ISLANDS AND AT
ISOLATED PLACES OVER ARUNACHAL PRADESH, ASSAM & MEGHALAYA,
SUB-HIMALAYAN WEST BENGAL & SIKKIM,  PUNJAB, WEST MADHYA PRADESH,
VIDARBHA, COSTAL ANDHRA PRADESH-YANAM, RAYALASEEMA AND KERALA &
MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)


WEATHER WARNINGS:-

05 MARCH (DAY 1):  THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT
ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGITBALTISTAN
-MUZAFFARABAD AND HIMACHAL PRADESH.  SQUALLY WINDS SPEED REACHING
55-65 KMPH GUSTING TO 75 KMPH VERY LIKELY OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING
WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, GULF OF MANNAR AND ALONG & OFF NORTH
TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY AND SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS TILL 5TH
EVENING. THE WINDS WOULD DECREASE GRADUALLY BECOMING 50-60 KMPH
GUSTING TO 70 KMPH OVER THE SAME REGION TILL 06TH EARLY MORNING.
 SEA CONDITION WILL BE VERY ROUGH OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING
WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, GULF OF MANNAR, COMORIN AREA AND ALONG &
OFF TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS. FISHERMEN
ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS.

06 MARCH (DAY 2):  HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY
OVER NORTH COASTAL TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.  HEAVY
RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-
LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD. THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED
WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-
BALTISTANMUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL PRADESH, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH-
YANAM AND TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.  SQUALLY WINDS SPEED
REACHING 50-60 KMPH GUSTING TO 70 KMPH VERY LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER
SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, GULF OF MANNAR AND
ALONG & OFF NORTH TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY AND SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH
COASTS IN MORNING AND BECOMING 45- 55 KMPH GUSTING TO 65 KMPH FROM
EVENING HOURS.  SEA CONDITION WILL BE VERY ROUGH OVER
SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF BENGAL, GULF OF MANNAR,
COMORIN AREA AND ALONG & OFF NORTH TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY & SOUTH
ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO
THESE AREAS.=

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