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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-NW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And 
Message-ID: <20220306054621.90AD81C0EEF@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sun, 6 Mar 2022 05:46:21 +0000
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ABPW10 PGTW 060600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/060600Z-070600ZMAR2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
     (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
26.1S 168.4W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 26.2S 167.7W, APPROXIMATELY 510 NM
SOUTHEAST OF TONGA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A
SUBTROPICAL STORM, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL
AND MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 060406Z SSMIS 91GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A PARTIALLY
EXPOSED AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH
SPARSE CONVECTION ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF A DRY SLOT AND A
PROMINENT DEFORMATION ZONE ON THE POLEWARD EDGE. ENVIRONMENTAL
ANALYSIS INDICATES THE CONDITIONS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT
ARE UNFAVORABLE WITH COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (26-27 C), DRY
AIR DOMINATING THE LOWER LEVELS AND HIGH (20-30 KTS) VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AS THE DISTURBANCE IS MOSTLY EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE JET
STREAM. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM WILL MEANDER SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST AND REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AND POLEWARD OF THE JET FOR 72-
96 HOURS UNTIL IT COMES INTO PHASE WITH A 500MB TROUGH. FOR HAZARDS
AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH
WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST
AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 30 TO 35
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 999 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
     (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.//
NNNN


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