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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Ken Gradually Into A Low Pressure Area During Next 24 Hours. 
Message-ID: <20220306074933.5E4301C0EEF@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sun, 6 Mar 2022 07:49:33 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 060745

IWB (MORNING) DATED 06-03-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

THE DEPRESSION OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL MOVED NEARLY SOUTHWESTWAR
DS AND WEAKENED INTO A WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE SAME RE
GION AT 0830 HRS IST OF TODAY, THE 06TH MARCH 2022. IT IS VERY LIKELY
TO MOVE FURTHER SOUTHWESTWARDS TOWARDS NORTH TAMIL NADU COAST AND WEA
KEN GRADUALLY INTO A LOW PRESSURE AREA DURING NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE NOW SEEN AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER WEST
AFGHANISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD BETWEEN 3.1 KM & 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LE
VEL WITH A TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES
WITH ITS AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.62OE
 TO THE NORTH OF LAT.26ON.

AN INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION LIES OVER SOUTH PAKISTAN & ADJOINING
 SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN AND EXTENDS UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL.

A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM
THE
 NIGHT OF 08TH MARCH, 2022.

THE TROUGH IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS AXIS
AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL ROUGHLY ALONG LONG.86OE TO THE NORTH
OF LAT.20ON HAS MOVED AWAY EAST-NORTHEASTWARDS (.)

RAINFALL FORECAST:-

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-
BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD; AT A FEW PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH AND
ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND.

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT A FEW PLACES OVER TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-
KARAIKAL AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN-NICOBAR ISLANDS, PUNJAB,
 HARYANA, CHANDIGARH &  DELHI, EAST RAJATSHAN, WEST MADHYA PRADESH,
GUJARAT REGION, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHAWADA, COSTAL
 ANDHRA PRADESH-YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, AND
KERALA & MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

06 MARCH (DAY 1):

 HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER KASHMIR
 VALLEY AND HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER NORTH COASTAL
TAMILNADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY
LIKELY OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-
MUZAFFARABAD, UTTARAKHAND, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH-YANAM AND TAMIL
NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

 SQUALLY WINDS SPEED REACHING 35-45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH VERY
LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF
BENGAL, GULF OF MANNAR AND ALONG & OFF TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY AND
SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS DURING NEXT 12 HOURS AND GRADUALLY
DECREASE BECOMING 30-40 KMPH GUSTING TO 50 KMPH OVER THE SAME
REGION DURING SUBSEQUENT 12 HOURS.

 SEA CONDITION WILL BE ROUGH OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL
BAY OF BENGAL, GULF OF MANNAR, COMORIN AREA AND ALONG & OFF TAMIL
NADU, PUDUCHERRY & SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS. FISHERMEN ARE
ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS (.)

07 MARCH (DAY 2):  \U2666 THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING &
GUSTY WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH GUSTING TO 50 KMPH) AT
ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT REGION,
MADHYA MAHARASHTRA AND MARATHWADA AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED
PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD,
HIMACHAL PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HARYANA AND TAMIL
NADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL (.)=

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