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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Indian-S: Neighborhood Between 3.1 Km & 4.5 Km Above Mean Sea Level With The 
Message-ID: <20220306145616.BF19C1C0EEF@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sun, 6 Mar 2022 14:56:16 +0000
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WWIN40 DEMS 061200
IWB (EVENING) DATED 06-03-2022

METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS:-

THE WELL MARKED LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER SOUTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL 
WEAKENED INTO A LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE SAME REGION.

THE WESTERN DISTURBANCE AS A CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER WEST 
AFGHANISTAN & NEIGHBOURHOOD  NOW LIES OVER CENTRAL AFGHANISTAN & 
NEIGHBORHOOD BETWEEN 3.1 KM & 4.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL WITH THE 
TROUGH ALOFT IN MIDDLE & UPPER TROPOSPHERIC WESTERLIES WITH ITS 
AXIS AT 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL NOW RUNS ROUGHLY ALONG 
LONG.64°E TO THE NORTH OF LAT.25°N.

THE INDUCED CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTH PAKISTAN & ADJOINING 
SOUTHWEST RAJASTHAN EXTENDING UPTO 1.5 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL PERSISTS.

A FRESH WESTERN DISTURBANCE LIKELY TO AFFECT NORTHWEST INDIA FROM 
THE NIGHT OF 08TH MARCH, 2022.

RAINFALL FORECAST:- 

RAINFALL/SNOWFALL: AT MOST PLACES OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-
BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD; AT A FEW PLACES OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH AND 
ISOLATED PLACES OVER UTTARAKHAND.

RAINFALL/THUNDERSHOWERS: AT A FEW PLACES OVER TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-
KARAIKAL AND AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER ANDAMAN-NICOBAR ISLANDS, PUNJAB,
 HARYANA, CHANDIGARH &  DELHI, EAST RAJATSHAN, WEST MADHYA PRADESH, 
GUJARAT REGION, KONKAN & GOA, MADHYA MAHARASHTRA, MARATHAWADA, 
COSTAL ANDHRA PRADESH-YANAM, RAYALASEEMA, SOUTH INTERIOR KARNATAKA, 
AND KERALA & MAHE (.)

DRY OVER REST PARTS OF THE COUNTRY (.)

WEATHER WARNINGS:-

 

06 MARCH (DAY 1): 

 

HEAVY RAINFALL/SNOWFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER KASHMIR 
VALLEY AND HEAVY RAINFALL AT ISOLATED PLACES OVER NORTH COASTAL 
TAMILNADU-PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES VERY 
LIKELY OVER HIMACHAL PRADESH, JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-
MUZAFFARABAD, UTTARAKHAND, COASTAL ANDHRA PRADESH-YANAM AND TAMIL NADU-
PUDUCHERRY-KARAIKAL.

SQUALLY WINDS SPEED REACHING 35-45 KMPH GUSTING TO 55 KMPH VERY 
LIKELY TO PREVAIL OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL BAY OF 
BENGAL, GULF OF MANNAR AND ALONG & OFF TAMIL NADU, PUDUCHERRY AND 
SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS DURING NEXT 12 HOURS AND GRADUALLY 
DECREASE BECOMING 30-40 KMPH GUSTING TO 50 KMPH OVER THE SAME REGION 
DURING SUBSEQUENT 12 HOURS.

SEA CONDITION WILL BE ROUGH OVER SOUTHWEST & ADJOINING WESTCENTRAL 
BAY OF BENGAL, GULF OF MANNAR, COMORIN AREA AND ALONG & OFF TAMIL NADU, 
PUDUCHERRY & SOUTH ANDHRA PRADESH COASTS. FISHERMEN ARE ADVISED NOT 
TO VENTURE INTO THESE AREAS (.)

 

07 MARCH (DAY 2): THUNDERSTORM ACCOMPANIED WITH LIGHTNING & GUSTY 
WINDS (SPEED REACHING 30-40 KMPH GUSTING TO 50 KMPH) AT ISOLATED 
PLACES VERY LIKELY OVER WEST MADHYA PRADESH, GUJARAT REGION, MADHYA 
MAHARASHTRA AND MARATHWADA AND WITH LIGHTNING AT ISOLATED PLACES 
OVER JAMMU-KASHMIR-LADAKH-GILGIT-BALTISTAN-MUZAFFARABAD, HIMACHAL 
PRADESH, UTTARAKHAND, PUNJAB, HARYANA AND TAMIL NADU-PUDUCHERRY-
KARAIKAL (.)

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