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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion 
Message-ID: <20220306153430.D94AC1C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Sun, 6 Mar 2022 15:34:30 +0000
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AXPZ20 KNHC 061534
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sun Mar 6 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1530 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from the Colombia-Panama border near
06N77W to 04N93W to 03N106W. The ITCZ stretches from 03N106W to 
06N114W, then resumes W of a trough near 07N120W and beyond 
05N140W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted from 01S 
to 02N between 84W and 89W and along the monsoon trough between
90W and 104W. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the
ITCZ between 119W to 140W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Fresh winds are occurring within 180 nm offshore Baja California,
with strong winds in the northern Gulf of California, as high
pressure builds down the western coast of the U.S. Seas W of Baja
California range from 8 to 10 ft in NW swell. For areas N a line
from Cabo Corrientes to the Revillagigedo Islands, moderate NW 
winds and 5 to 7 ft seas prevail. To the south, winds are light 
and seas are 3 to 5 ft. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong NW to N winds will continue 
offshore Baja California today, along with NW swell. Seas of 8 
to 11 ft in this area will gradually diminish. Fresh winds, at 
times locally strong, will prevail in the Gulf of California 
through Wednesday. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds and seas of 4 
to 6 ft will prevail through early next week. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds prevail across the Papagayo
region with seas of up to 7 ft. Moderate to locally fresh north 
winds are in the Gulf of Panama. Mainly light to gentle winds are
noted elsewhere, along with wave heights of 3-5 ft due to a south
to southwest swell, with the exception of wave heights of up to 
6 ft offshore of Ecuador.

For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast winds in the Gulf of
Papagayo region will diminish to fresh speeds through Mon, then 
decrease further to gentle to moderate through the end of the week.
Moderate north winds in the Gulf of Panama will pulse nightly 
early this week. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail elsewhere.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

N of the ITCZ, widespread moderate to fresh NE winds prevail due
to the pressure gradient between the ITCZ and high pressure to 
the north. Seas are 8 to 11 ft. Farther W, fresh to strong SE 
winds N of 23N and W of 136W are associated with a trough west 
of the area. To the S of the ITCZ, gentle to moderate E to SE 
winds prevail with seas of 4 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, NE winds will veer E and subside to moderate 
over most of the area, although the trough to the west will 
continue to support strong winds and higher seas N of 24N and W 
of 137W into Mon. Seas elsewhere N of 23N will gradually 
subside, but remain mainly above 8 ft into early week.

$$
Torres


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