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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-SW: Subj/significant Tropical Weather Advisory For The Western And 
Message-ID: <20220307062910.A934C1C0EF0@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Mon, 7 Mar 2022 06:29:10 +0000
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TROPICAL WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE WESTERN PACIFIC
ABPW10 PGTW 070600
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS/070600Z-080600ZMAR2022//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
   C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH PACIFIC AREA (WEST COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA TO 135 EAST):
   A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
   B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
C. SUBTROPICAL SYSTEM SUMMARY:
     (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96P) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR
26.2S 167.7W IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 28.1S 164.9W, APPROXIMATELY 702 NM
SOUTHEAST OF TONGA. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY CLASSIFIED AS A
SUBTROPICAL STORM, GENERALLY CHARACTERIZED AS HAVING BOTH TROPICAL
AND MID-LATITUDE CYCLONE FEATURES. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE
IMAGERY (MSI) AND A 070039Z AMSR2 89GHZ IMAGE DEPICT A FULLY EXPOSED
AND ELONGATED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH SPARSE
CONVECTION ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF A DRY SLOT AND A PROMINENT
DEFORMATION ZONE ON THE POLEWARD EDGE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE CONDITIONS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT ARE
UNFAVORABLE WITH COOL SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (25-26 C), DRY AIR
DOMINATING THE LOWER LEVELS AND HIGH (30-40 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR
AS THE DISTURBANCE IS MOSTLY EMBEDDED IN THE MID-LATITUDE JET
STREAM. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM WILL MEANDER SOUTH-
SOUTHWEST AND REMAIN QUASI-STATIONARY AND POLEWARD OF THE JET FOR 72-
96 HOURS UNTIL IT COMES INTO PHASE WITH A 500MB TROUGH. FOR HAZARDS
AND WARNINGS, REFERENCE THE FLEET WEATHER CENTER SAN DIEGO HIGH
WINDS AND SEAS PRODUCT OR REFER TO LOCAL WMO DESIGNATED FORECAST
AUTHORITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 35 TO 40
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 996 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.
     (2) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.//
NNNN


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