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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion 
Message-ID: <20220307071536.EA9301C0EF0@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Mon, 7 Mar 2022 07:15:36 +0000
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AXPZ20 KNHC 070715
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon Mar 7 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from the Colombian coast near 06N77W to
04N98W to 03N105W. The ITCZ stretches from 03N105W to 06N117W, 
then resumes W of a trough near 07N122W and beyond 06N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 06N between 92W and
98W and from 05N to 09N between 122W and 140W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Mainly fresh NW winds are occurring within 150 nm offshore Baja 
California Norte. Seas in this region are 7 to 9 ft in NW swell.
For areas N a line from Cabo Corrientes to the Revillagigedo 
Islands, moderate NW winds and 5 to 7 ft seas prevail. To the 
south, winds are light and seas are 3 to 6 ft. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong NW winds offshore Baja 
California Norte will diminish some tonight. NW swell leading to
seas of 7 to 9 ft will also decay in this area. As high pressure
builds toward the region, fresh NW winds in the Gulf of 
California will increase to strong tonight, then prevail through
Tue. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and 5 to 7 ft seas will
prevail into mid-week. Looking ahead, gales are likely to 
develop in the Gulf of Tehuantepec next weekend. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh NE to E winds are noted in and near the Gulf of Papagayo,
with some moderate N winds in the Gulf of Panama. Elsewhere,
winds are light to gentle with seas of 3 to 5 ft.

For the forecast, fresh northeast winds in the Gulf of Papagayo 
region will gradually diminish tonight, then decrease further to
gentle to moderate through the end of the week. Moderate north 
winds in the Gulf of Panama will pulse nightly through mid week 
becoming light to gentle the remainder of the week. Gentle to 
moderate winds will prevail elsewhere. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

N of the ITCZ, widespread moderate to fresh NE to E winds 
prevail due to the pressure gradient between the ITCZ and high 
pressure to the north. Seas are 7 to 10 ft. Farther W, fresh to 
strong SE winds N of 25N and W of 138W are associated with a 
trough west of the area. To the S of the ITCZ, gentle to moderate
E to SE winds prevail with seas of 4 to 6 ft.

For the forecast, winds will subside across northern waters as
the pressure gradient weakens, except just N of the ITCZ and W of
130W, where fresh trades and seas of 8 to 10 ft will prevail 
most of the week. The trough W of the area will weaken, allowing 
winds to relax to fresh and seas to fall under 8 ft by midweek.

$$
KONARIK


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