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From: COD Weather Processor <ldm@weather.cod.edu>
To: <wx-tropl@lists.illinois.edu>
Subject: Pacific-EN: Tropical Weather Discussion 
Message-ID: <20220308030215.58C301C0EEE@weather.cod.edu>
Date: Tue, 8 Mar 2022 03:02:15 +0000
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AXPZ20 KNHC 080301
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue Mar 8 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from Colombia near 09N76W to 06N85W to 
04N106W. The ITCZ stretches from 04N106W to 08N126W to beyond 
07N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 07N 
between 82W and 87W and from 06N to 11N W of 122W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

A relatively narrow surface ridge extends from strong high
pressure across the NE Pacific through 30N131W to near 18N107W. 
The pressure gradient between this ridge and lower pressure 
across the Sierra Madre Occidentales of Mexico is producing 
mainly fresh NW to N winds within 150 nm offshore of Baja 
California N of Cabo San Lazaro, and moderate N winds elsewhere 
southward to 18N. Seas are 6 to 9 ft in NW swell across the 
offshore waters N of Cabo San Lazaro, and 5 to 7 ft elsewhere. 
Moderate side shore winds are occurring near the coast along Cabo
Corrientes and Puerto Angel. Otherwise to the S of 18N, winds 
are light to gentle and seas are 4 to 6 ft.

Inside the Gulf of California, fresh northerly winds prevail
south of the Tiburon Basin, where seas are 3-5 ft, except to 6 ft
at the mouth of the Gulf.

For the forecast, fresh NW winds offshore Baja California Norte will
diminish slightly tonight while moderate NW swell decays across 
this area. Fresh NW winds in the Gulf of California today will 
become fresh to locally strong tonight, then prevail through 
Tue evening. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail 
into mid- week. Looking ahead, strong N winds will spread N to S
across the Gulf of California Thu night through Sat, while a
strong gale event is expected to develop in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec this weekend. 


OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Moderate NE winds are noted across the Papagayo region and in the
Gulf of Panama. Elsewhere, winds are light to gentle with seas 
of 3 to 5 ft.

NE winds across the Papagayo region will pulse to
fresh tonight and Tue night then gradually diminish through the
end of the week. Moderate north winds in the Gulf of Panama will
pulse tonight and Tue night, then become light to gentle the 
remainder of the week. Mainly gentle winds will prevail 
elsewhere.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

N of the ITCZ to 21N, widespread mainly fresh NE to E winds 
prevail due to the pressure gradient between the ITCZ and the 
high pressure to the north. Seas are 8 to 10 ft in mixed swell. 
Across NW portions, fresh SE winds N of 24N and W of 138W are 
associated with the pressure gradient between a trough west of 
the area and high pressure. Convection associated with this
trough has now moved W of the area. To the S of the ITCZ, gentle
to moderate E to SE winds prevail with seas of 5 to 7 ft.

Winds will subside across waters N of 25N as the ridge remains in
place. However, the pressure gradient S of 25N and W of 122W will
support fresh trades and seas of 8 to 10 ft most of the week. 
The trough W of the area will weaken, allowing winds to relax to 
fresh and seas to fall under 8 ft by Tue night.

$$
KONARIK


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